| 中美关系力量结构变化导致了中美贸易摩擦？ |
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| 引用本文： | 朱福林.中美关系力量结构变化导致了中美贸易摩擦？[J].浙江省政法管理干部学院学报,2020,34(2):73-84. |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱福林 |
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| 作者单位： | 商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金重点项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 本轮中美贸易摩擦的发生是美国对华政策深度调整的结果，根源于中美关系框架内不同性质的力量发生实质演变。中美货物贸易逆差是全球价值链体系内东亚区域整合的必然结果，因而具有很强的不可逆特征。美国主动挑起贸易摩擦的时机选择体现了其战略考量。作为中美关系中重要的正面力量，经贸关系的“压舱石”作用在不断弱化，政治、安全等负面力量不断发酵并呈现出主导中美关系走向的态势。此次中美史诗级贸易摩擦是美国社会对华负面力量不断叠加并积累到一定程度的结果。“文明的冲突”加剧了中美关系正负力量失衡并使天平逐渐向负面力量倾斜。面对中美贸易摩擦的复杂性和长期性，基于发展视角提出中国理性客观应对中美贸易摩擦的战略与策略。
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| 关 键 词： | 中美关系 贸易摩擦 修昔底德陷阱 “三零”规则 |
| 收稿时间： | 2020-02-09 |
The Change of Power Structure of Sino-US Relation Leading to the Trade Friction? |
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| ZHU Fulin.The Change of Power Structure of Sino-US Relation Leading to the Trade Friction?[J].Journal of Zhejiang Gongshang University,2020,34(2):73-84. |
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| Authors: | ZHU Fulin |
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| Affiliation: | Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation |
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| Abstract: | The outbreak of Sino-US trade friction is the result of the in-depth adjustment of the United States’ political attitude to China，originating from the essential changes in the internal power structure of Sino-US relations. The Sino-US merchandise trade deficit is the inevitable result of the integration of regional industrial chains in East Asia under global value chain, hence with its strong irreversibility. The U.S. timing selection of starting the trade friction against China reflects its strategic thinking. As an important positive force, the role of economic and trade relations as “ballast stone” is weakening, while negative forces such as politics and national security are fermenting, and show a trend of dominating Sino-US relations. To some extent, the outbreak of the Sino-US trade friction is the result of the continuous superposition and accumulating of negative forces towards China in the United States. The “conflicts of civilization” aggravates the imbalance of positive and negative forces in the framework of the Sino-US relation and makes the balance gradually incline to negative forces. Faced with the complexity and longevity of the Sino-US trade friction, this paper puts forward some strategies and tactics to deal with Sino-US trade frictions rationally and objectively based on the perspective of development. |
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| Keywords: | Sino-US relations trade friction Thucydides trap the “Three Zero” rule |
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