在新的历史起点上:开辟中美新型大国关系之路

40年前,中美两国"跨过世界最辽阔的海洋,走到一起",开辟了中美关系的新纪元,在国际关系发展史上,树立了两种不同社会制度国家合作的典范,同时,也改变了世界. 40年来,中美关系虽历经风雨,但始终向前,取得了世人难以预料的巨大成就,不仅给两国和两国人民带来了巨大福祉,也对促进世界的和平、发展、稳定与繁荣产生了重大的、积极的、不可替代的影响.     

1996年硕士研究生学位论文题目

专业姓名研究方向题目指导教师国际政治王国荣 国际政治理论与实践论冷战后的国际干预郑恩田国际政治刘星国际关系试论冷战后的日本防卫政策方连庆国际政治邱红艳国际关系试论冷战后的美韩同盟关系方连庆国际政治朴镜弼(韩国)国际关系论后冷战时期的中美关系李茂吞国际政治李桦佩国际关系环境问题与中日关系李茂春国际政治金镇九(韩国)国际关系两岸对于中国统一问题的观点比较分析兼谈韩半岛统一问题李茂吞国际政治谢文波国际关系欧洲经济货币联盟与法德关系许振洲国际政治吴松国际关系论1971一1996年美国对华政策中的意识形态因素许振洲国…     

国际关系研究所举办“国际问题论坛”

为了活跃学术气氛,国际关系研究所组织了“国际问题论坛”,不定期地邀请校外从事国际问题研究的专家、学者来作报告以及同教师和研究生进行座谈。1997年3月20日和4月3日,现代国际关系研究所中国对外政策研究中心主任阎学通博士以及总参二部某局局长陈小功先生分别就“中国崛起的国际环境”与“中美关系”作了专题报告,并且与教师、研究生进行讨论。现将两次报告和讨论的情况简单介绍如下。     

中美关系:走出大国政治的悲剧

回顾国际关系史可以洞见,确实如传统现实主义者所言,正在崛起的大国与现存霸权国家之间走向冲突的案例比比皆是,相反的案例却鲜见。可以说,中美关系犹如上坡行使的车,前进远不如倒退容易。如果前进动力不足,又未采取有效的制动措施,它就有可能持续向后滑行,甚至滑到危险的境地。     

定量衡量的得与失——简评《中外关系鉴览1950—2005:中国与大国关系定量衡量》

<正>长期以来,如何准确的判断国际间的双边关系是个难题。经常有学者或者评论员说"中美关系好不到哪里去,也坏不到哪里去"。这样一种判断大体上是正确的,但是很粗糙,没能说清楚好坏之间的区间是多大,也没说清楚好和坏的原因是什么。究其原因,还是因为国际关系中双边关系研究缺乏精细的定量研究,尤其是     

一种打破威斯特伐利亚情结的有益尝试——读《世界历史中的国际体系》

在国际关系学的教科书里，1648年和在这一年签署的《威斯特伐利亚和约》是具有里程碑意义的历史节点和事件。其意义在于由此形成了现代国际关系史上第一个国际体系。而在此之前的早期国际关系则由于其偶然性、地区性、有限性和幼稚性，往往不被视为“严格意义上的国际关系”。这样界定历史的最大后果就是，我们发现1648年几乎成为一道不可逾越的分水岭，它的一侧是由近代西方民族国家几个世纪以来孕育、发展、扩张至全球的现代国际体系，     

中美关系30年的演进与思考

中美关系实现正常化至今已30余年，在此期间，两国关系经历了折冲与磨合、借重与合作，现已发展成为当今世界最为重要的国际关系之一。美国作为最发达的西方头号强国，它的对华方针不能不对当代中国的发展进程产生影响；而对美方针也自然成为中国对外战略思考的重点之一。     

“经典路径”与国际关系理论建构——对国际关系学科史上“第二次论战”的再思考

长期以来,学界对国际关系学科史上的"第二次论战"存在误解,实质上这场论战围绕如何对国际关系进行理论化概括展开,"经典路径"和"科学路径"的信奉者分别构建了不同形态的国际关系理论。"经典路径"构建的理论是一种哲理性思想,它由一系列有关国际关系且彼此间密切联系的普遍性命题构成,其重点是展示对国际关系中心问题的哲理思考;"科学路径"构建的理论是一种简洁的理论模型,它由一整套彼此联系且清晰扼要的假说组成,其重点是揭示特定研究领域的组织原则和内在逻辑。两种形态的理论各有特殊价值,难以相互取代。"科学路径"在理论构建过程中离不开"经典路径"的思维工具,这有助于破除以单一的实证主义标准来衡量理论合理性的观念。     

对邓小平同志丰富和发展和平共处原则的一些认识

一、总结国际关系实践 ,和平共处五项原则最具有强大生命力半个世纪前 ,中国首先提出并和印度、缅甸共同倡导了著名的和平共处五项原则 ,这是 2 0世纪国际关系史上的一个创举 ,它对人类和平与发展事业做出了突出的贡献。五十年来 ,和平共处五项原则经受了历史风云的考验 ,得到了国际广泛认同。 1984年 10月邓小平同志在会见缅甸总统吴山友时 ,强调指出 :总结国际关系的实践 ,最具有强大生命力的就是和平共处五项原则。他认为 :处理国与国之间的关系 ,和平共处五项原则是最好的方式 ,其他方式如“大家庭”方式 ,“集团政治”方式 ,“势力范围…     

国际格局多极化中的美国新霸权

霸权,世界霸权和地区霸权,是资本主义大国国际政策的主要内容,特别是发达资本主义大国更是如此。伴随霸权主义政策的同时,必然引发战争,这在国际关系史上是不争的事实。从某种意义上说,国际关系史就是一部霸权更替史和战争演变史。 冷战结束前后,国际形势发生重大变化,和平与发展上升为世界的主题,多极化趋势日渐明显,这对于霸权政策不能不形成巨大的冲击。美国在苏联东欧崩溃瓦解之后,失去     

Power and transformational and transactional leadership in public and private organizations

Ten public and 35 private organizations located in Central New York State participated in a university- sponsored research project to study the effects of organizational characteristics upon types of leadership (transformational/transactional) and power demonstrated by supervisors. Public sector organizations in which managers had low control over rewards were compared to private sector organizations in which managers had high control over rewards.

Followers perceived public sector supervisors as more inspirational by their followers and they used more active management-by-exception behavior than those in private organizations. Private sector supervisors had more reward, legitimate and coercive power than supervisors in public sector organizations.     

Natural Resources and Small Island Economies: Mauritius and Trinidad and Tobago

Abstract

Historically, small economies, especially resource-rich ones, underperformed on average relative to their larger counterparts. Small island economies appear still more disadvantaged due to remoteness from both markets and agglomeration economies. Yet a comparison of two small island economies with similar initial conditions other than their mineral endowment suggests that policy outweighs size, isolation and resource endowment in determining economic performance. Resource-poor Mauritius adopted an unfashionable policy of export manufacturing that systematically eliminated surplus labour, which drove economic diversification that sustained rapid GDP growth and political maturation. Like most resource-rich economies, Trinidad and Tobago pursued policies that absorbed rent too rapidly, which impeded diversification and created an illusory prosperity vulnerable to collapse.     

Russian stereotypes and myths of Ukraine and Ukrainians and why Novorossiya failed

This article discusses two inter-related issues. Firstly, the factors lying behind Russia's fervent belief that its Novorossiya (New Russia) project, aimed to bring back to Russia eight oblasts of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kharkiv, Dnipro, Zaporizhhya, Odesa, Mykolayiv, and Kherson in eastern and southern Ukraine and launched during the 2014 “Russian Spring,” would be successful. Russian identity misunderstood, and continues to misunderstand, Ukraine and Ukrainians through stereotypes and myths of Ukraine as an “artificial state” and Ukraine's Russian speakers as “fraternal brothers” and Russians and Ukrainians as “one people” (odin narod). Secondly, why Ukrainian national identity was different than these Russian stereotypes and myths and how this led to the failure of the Novorossiya project. Russian stereotypes and myths of Ukraine and Ukrainians came face to face with the reality of Russian-speaking Ukrainian patriotism and their low support for the Russkij Mir (Russian World). The article compares Russian stereotypes and myths of Ukraine and Ukrainians with how Ukrainians see themselves to explain the roots of the 2014 crisis, “Russian Spring,” and failure of Russian President Vladimir Putin's Novorossiya project.     

Earnings and ethnicity in Trinidad and Tobago

This study employs 1993 Continuous Sample Survey of the Population (CSSP) data for Trinidad and Tobago to investigate the determinants of earnings by ethnicity. The data, organised into three ethnic groupings, reveal lower levels of remuneration in the labour market for Africans and Indians than for individuals of other ethnicities taken as a whole. While the larger portion of the earnings differentials generally appears to be explained by ethnic differences in characteristics valued by the labour market, Africans and Indians would benefit substantially if they were to receive the same rates of remuneration for their educational endowments as workers of other ethnicities in the Trinidad and Tobago labour market. Notwithstanding Indians’ lowest average earnings, Africans appear more likely to be discriminated against.     

现代化与未成年人犯罪

未成人犯罪随着现代化的发展而发展，这可以说是一种国际现象。在现代化进程中，我国未成年人犯罪大量增多的原因在于：未成年人生理、心理发展不平衡，家庭教育存在缺失，学校教育存在不足，社会上存在着很多消极因素。在现代化进程中，必须采取有效对策，控制未成年人犯罪增多，才能保障未成年人健康成长。     

Country size and economic growth and development

This paper attempts to provide limited empirical evidence on the nature of the relationship between country size and rates of economic growth and levels of economic development, and on the possible effects of trade concentration and dependence on trade on this relationship. It suggests that there is no discernible association between country size and economic development, nor between country size and economic growth, and that neither the dependence on trade of small countries nor their commodity and geographic export concentration are necessarily important factors in economic growth and economic development.     

Government and Corruption: Scylla and Charybdis

Using public sector employment and corruption perception data for 72 countries across the world, this article demonstrates that despite common notion countries with “smaller” governments do not tend to have lower corruption. Under general assumptions, one can demonstrate that there is an optimal size of public sector employment corresponding to the highest capital intensity. The model has several implications: lower optimal sizes of governments for labor intensive countries and higher sizes for capital intensive ones, possibility to reduce corruption paying a cost of suboptimal output, and a higher “price” of an oversized government for labor intensive countries.     

“两抢”犯罪的趋势与防控

根据最近16年的统计数据，我国“两抢”犯罪总体呈上升态势，且出现多方面的特点。当前，影响“两抢”犯罪变化趋势的因素主要有：社会管理机制完善的程度、社会成员之间收入的差距、“两抢”犯罪主体特点、社会成员的防范意识以及公安机关的防控机制等。预防“两抢”犯罪需要整个社会尤其是公安机关的共同努力。