U.S. Factor in Sino-Russian Relations

ThetriangularrelationshipofChina ,theU .S .andtheSovietUnionformedintheearly 1 970soncehadagreatimpactontheworldsituationandworldstructureatthattime .AftertheendoftheColdWar,thisoldpatternoftriangularrelationsnolongerexisted .However,anewtypeoftriangularrelationshipofChina ,theU .S .andRussiahastakenshapeinthecourseofmulti-polarizationprocessduringthepasttenyearsorso .FromthepathalongwhichSino -Russianrelationsdevelop ,ithasmadeknownthattheU .S .factorhasallalongplayedadualroleofpromotin…     

世界经济指标

表1:发达经济体GDP平减指数和消费物价 年平均值 1987一1996 1997一2(X拓 (年百分比变化) }预测值 1997 1998 19992(X X)2(X) 12印22(X) 32(X科}以刃52以拓 ︻万6 4 0 OD 2 OnC, 11 Jti,乙 n,60八︶内j .… ,l,1 22 .............. ‘U州f︼,1,1 .… 山且.1,.1,‘ 1 .3 1 .0 74 11 11,、︶ ,白11 1.1曰.1曰11 3 .3 2 .9 6 .0 2 .8 1 .9 0 .6 7,17一l .… 内,︸书11 1.﹃山.1 ︸6 7 67 3 .2 40 12-0 l9 0 .8 1 .8 2 .2 3 .9 1 .5 2l 一0 .8 2 .1 2 .5 3 .5 3 .9 2 .6 2 .2 1 .2 1 .2 1 .6 4 .9 1 .0 2 .3 1 .5 2 .0 R 7 40 ,1 24门.二…     

Highlights of CAFIU''''s International Exchanges(from May to August 2003)

MayMay22,CAFIUVice-PresidentMr.LiBeihaietwithAmbassadorofCubatoChinaMr.AlbertoodriguezArufe.JuneJune17,Mr.Reddies,theProgrammeExecutivefBeijingofficeoftheGermanyFriedrich-Ebertoundation,gavealectureofCAFIUonthetopicofoliticalFoundationinGermany.June20,CouncilMembersofCAFIUJianghuxianandDuKeningattendedthereceptionofthembassyofGermany.June27,Secretary-GeneralXuJiangguoandeputySecretary-GeneralMaJinmetwithMr.Iso-awa,DirectorofBeijingBrunchofAsahiShibunofapan.June30,the9th…     

On World Multi-Polarization

AftertheendoftheColdWar,especiallyaftertheBushJr.governmentassumingpower,theU.S.hasactivelypursuedunilateralismandstrengthenedthemomentumofunipolarity,relyingonitspositionofstrengthastheonlysuperpowerandtakingadvan-tageofthefightagainstterrorism.However,there-sultisthatmoreandmorecountriesarenowinfavorofamulti-polarworldinstead.Worldmulti-polar-izationisanobjectivetrendoftortuousdevelop-ment.Thecontroversyoverthisissuereflectsthecomplexityofinternationalsituation.Multi-polarityisthebasicfea…     

A Vivid Embodiment of Sino-Indian Cultural Exchanges

Thecere-monycelebratingthefirstreleaseoftheChineseeditionofwingsoffire,anautobi-ographyofIndianPresidentH.E.Dr.APJAbdulKalam,washeldinBeijingonApril10thundertheauspicesofCAFIUandtheIndianEmbassyinChina.Mr.CaiWu,CAFIUAdvisorandVice-Minis-teroftheInternationalDepartmentoftheCPCCentralCommitteeandMr.ShivshankarMenon,IndianAmbassadortoChinadeliveredspeechesre-spectively.Mr.CaiWupointedoutthatasChinaandIn-diaarecountrieswithancientcivilization,itisoffar-reachingsignificancetoenha…     

Hot Spots, Difficult Spots and Bright Spots——Comments on the 2004 world situation

Whiletheyearof2004haswitnessedastablesitua-tionintheworldasawhole,theinterlockedunilat-eralism,hegemonism,terrorismandregionalhotspotshaveneverceasedmakingtroublesthathavecontinuedtostartletheworld.AroundtheU.S.presidentialelection,theU.S.foreignstrategyandthedevelopmentoftheMiddleEastsituation,theworldhasundergonearapidchange,withtheinter-nationalrelationsmakingdrasticrestructuringandtheworldsecuritybeingseriouslyimpaired.Incon-trastwiththeturbulenceinsomepartsoftheworld,politicalpartiesinv…     

Constructing the Silk Road With Sweat,Exchanging Friendship Cordially──Notes on the Visit of Mr. Turkmen, Columnist and Former Foreign Minister of Turkey

greensproutsonthetreesinMarch,justbeforePresidentJiangZeminwastopayastateVisittoTurkey.ItwasatsuchastimethatCAFlUwelcomedthearrivalofMr.Turkmen,columnistofthebiggestnews-paperofTurkeythebopaper,andhiswife.Attheageof73,Mr.Turk-menusedtobeafamousTurkishdiplomat,whohadassumedthepostsofForeignMinister,Am-bassadortoGreeceandthefor-merUSSRandFrance,Perma-nentRepresentativetotheUnIt-edNationsandUnderSecretaryofUN.HehadbeentoChinathreetimes.Themainpurposeofhispresentvisitwastohaveaninter…     

The Highlights of CAFIU''''s International Exchanges(From March to May 2004)

March(1)March4,CAFIUExecutiveVice-PresidentMr.LiChengrenandSecretary-GeneralMr.XuJianguoat-tendedthereceptiononthe45thanniversaryoftheestablishmentofdiplomaticrelationsbetweenSudanandChinahostedbyMr.MirghaniMohamedSalih,SudaneseambassadortoChina.(2)March4,CAFIUSecretary-GeneralMr.XuJianguometwithMr.DraganMoncilovic,thenewambas-sadorofSerbiaandMontenegrotoChina.(3)March9,CAFIUSecretary-GeneralMr.XuJianguometwithMr.GeraldMartin,officialfromtheAsiaFoundation.CouncilMemberMr…     

The Sino-Japan Friendship in Full Blossom on the Oasis in the Desert

AttheinvitationofCAFIU,thethree-memberdele-gationheadedbyMr.Tsurukenji,PresidentoftheBerupokaiofJapanandMr.KotamaShiichi,Direc-toroftheBeijingOfficeoftheJapanInternationalCreditCompany(JCB)visitedXinjiangAutonomousRegionfromAugust17to25.Theretheyattendedtheceremonyofthedonationofthefar-distanceed-ucationfacilitiesfortheCentralSchooloftheHe-dongxinTowninTumushukeCity.Duringtheirstaythere,Mr.LiuDefeng,MayoroftheTumushukemetwiththedelegation,andMr.WuJindong,SecretaryofthePartyCom…     

How to Properly Assess U.S. Position of Strength?

Intheaftermathof9/11eventsandtheIraqwar,thereappeartwoentirelydifferentpointsofviewwithintheChineseacademiccirclesinregardtotheU.S.positionofstrength.Oneviewholdsthatthe9/11eventslaybaretheextremelyfragileaspectoftheU.S.asasuperpower.TheIraqwarisasymboliceventthatshowsthewaxandwaneoftheAmericanEmpire.Anotherviewbelievesthatinsteadofbeing"onthedecline"afterthe9/11events,theU.S.hasmademono-polarpatternmorestableandtheU.S.positionofstrengthmorefirmlyestablishedaftertheIraqwar.Untilnow,thisd…     

Japanese People Love Peace——Notes of a Trip to Hiroshima

InlatespringinMarch,atthein-vitationofMr.YuzanFujita,Gov-ernorofHiroshimaPrefecture,a6-memberdelegationofCAFIUvisitedthebeautifulEhimeandHiroshimaPre-fecture.Ourhostar-rangedafullsched-uleforthe5-dayvisit.WemetwithMr.YuzanFu-jita,GovernorofHiroshimaPrefecture,Mr.NaofumiTaguchi,ViceGovernorofHiroshimaPrefecture,Mr.MoriyukiKato,GovernorofEhimePrefecture,Mr.TadatoshiAkiba,MayorofHiroshimaCity.WealsohelddiscussionswithProfessorNobufumiKawasakiatHiroshimaUniversityFacultyofLawand…     

U.S.Deterrence and Coercive Diplomacy and China's Coping Strategy

Deterrence and coercion are two kinds of strategies,the latter being more aggressive than the former.The U.S.Asia-Pacific Rebalancing strategy is an important diplomatic legacy of Obama's administration.For the issues involving the Diaoyu Islands,the South China Sea,cyber security,DPRK's nuclear program,and Iran's nuclear program,the U.S.has carded out military deterrence and non-force coercion against China.But generally,these are low-level coercive measures and distinct from the severe economic sanction and diplomatic isolation imposed by the U.S.on Russia,Syria,DPRK and Iran in recent years.Concerning issues where the U.S.and China hold distinct views,there would be less strategic leeway for the two countries.If the U.S.is to strengthen deterrence and coercion towards China,China can respond more actively and effectively,but it will be more difficult to build a new model of China-U.S.major-country relationship.     

Comments on UN Reform

OnOctober9-132004,UnitedNationsSecretary-GeneralKofiAnnanpaidanofficialvisittoChina.Duringhisstay,hehaddiscussionswithChineseleadersonUNreformandchangesintheinterna-tionalsituationandetc.Inrecent59thUNGeneralAssemblySession,UNreformwasalsooneofthehottopics.ThenecessityofUNreform.UNisnowfacingarigorousrealityofinternationalpolitics.Althoughpeaceanddevelopmentstillremainthemainthemesofourtime,theworldisfarfromtranquility.Thegeneralinternationalsituationhaskeptitsba-sicfeaturesasoverall…     

Trend of Political Situation after UK Election

TheLaborpartyledbyToniBlairwontheBritishelection,achievingaconsecutivethirdvictoryforthefirsttimein Labor's100yearsofhistory.AndBlairbecamethesecondPrime MinsterwhoholdsconsecutivethreetermsafterWorldWarII,fol-lowingMrs.Thatcher.ButBlairmaystepdownduringhisthird termjustlikeMrs.Thatchertoo.Blair'spositioninBritishpolitics hasbeguntofluctuateaftertheelection,andmanyvariableshave occurred.Firstofall,Blair'sstatusisinchallenge.ThoughtheLabor haswonthethirdelection,Blairisdemandedtoresign…     

From Political Friendship Towards Comprehensive Cooperation

I.FriendshipbetweenChinaandPakistanisbasedonthesharedstrategicinterestsandhasbeengoingaheadallalonginachangeableworld.ChinaandPakistanestablisheddiplomaticrelationsonMay21,1951.Atthebeginning,exchangesbe-tweenthetwocountrieswereveryfew.Bothsideshadonlymaintainednormalrelations.Fromtheendofthe1950's,changesintheoutsideenvironmentbroughtaboutahistoricchangeintherelationsbe-tweenChinaandPakistan.Bothsideshadbecomefriendsascloseaslipsandteethfromordinaryneighborsduetocommonstrategicinterests.F…     

Main Features of the Relations Among the Big Powers in 2004

Theyear2004hasseenanewroundofinteractionamongtheworldmajorpowerswhichistouchedoffbyU.S.unilateralismandmultilateralmechanismbeingthecentralplatformoftheseinteractions.Deeprootedcontradictionsamongthebigpowersstillexisted,theircontentionsforgeo-strategicar-easandresourcesweregainingmomentum,whilerelationsamongthemweregenerallystable.China'sroleinbigpowerrelationshadbeenenhanced.Inthelongrun,theoverallframeworkbasedontheco-existenceofcooperationandcompetition,aswellascoordinationandcontentionam…     

CAFIU Held its 9~(th) Council Meeting in Beijing

ChineseAssociationforInternationalUnderstanding(CAFIU)heldits9thCouncilMeetinginBeijingonJune30,2003.Mr.LiChengren,ExecutiveVice-PresidentofCAFIUmadeareportontheAssociation'sworksincethe8thCouncilMeeting.Anewleadingbodywaselectedatthemeeting.PresidentLiGuixianwasreelectedcon-secutively.AnamendmenttotheAssociation'sConstitutionwasapproved.Mr.WangJiarui,MinisteroftheInternationalDepartmentofCPCCentralCommitteewaspresent.MinisterWangmadeaspeechandextendedcongratulations.Thedetai…     

President Su Ge Heads a Foreign Ministry Scholars' Group to the U.S.

正On January 31 st to February 4th,2015,Amb.Su Ge,President of CIIS headed a scholars'group by the Chinese Foreign Ministry to the U.S.During their stay in the U.S.,the delegation visited East-West Center,Daniel K.Inouye AsiaPacific Center for Security Studies,Pacific Forum and the Brookings Institution.They also met with officials from the U.S.National Security Council and the U.S.Department of State.The delegation had two other public events.     

An Overall Review of International Situation in the First Quarter of 2004

I.TheU.S.Presidentialelectiongotlockedinaseesawbattle,therelationsbetweentheU.S.andsomebigpowerssawnewtrends.KerryhackedhiswaythroughdifficultiesintheprimaryandwontheDemocraticnomination.KerryandBushattackedeachotherontheissuesofcounter-terrorismandeconomyandtheirsupportratingwasequallymatched.Bushexpressedhisanti-terrorismdeterminationseveraltimes.TheU.S.desperatelysuppressedtheal-QaidaandtheremainingforcesofTalibawithPakistanandAfghanistanasitsalliesandpropagatedits″Demo-craticPlanon…     

How Far Can China-U.S. Relations Go?

TheSino-U.S.Tangle Beijing-Washingtonconnectioncanarguablybeportrayedasthe mostmind-bogglingtangleinworldhistory.Otherbilateralstructural linkssuchasU.S.-RussiaorTransatlanticrelationspalebesidethe mazeofheadachesbetweenthetwocapitals:differencesinideologyand socialsystem,1clashesofcivilizations,2geopoliticalfrictions,3“anatu-ralstandoff”betweenarisingpowerandtheexistenthegemony4and theseeminglyintractableconflictsofinterestsontheTaiwanissue.Thissaidthough,theextentofbilateralstructuralt…