The Trump Ascendancy: A Positive Side to Be Taken Seriously

In the 2016 election in the United States,non-traditional candidates like Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have emerged.Populism,counter-elitism,anti-intellectual sentiments are on the rampage.The seemingly irreversible world trend of globalization has come under doubt.Ethnic conflicts and clashes with police have caused a series of massacres.Currently,the US is on high alert.     

中美舆论战与中国的国际传播

美国政府视中国为首要战略竞争对手,并进行遏制打压,激起中国的强烈反对,而舆论战是中美博弈的重要组成部分。中美两国舆论战涵盖的议题广泛,影响波及全球,并发展到意识形态对抗和互相驱逐媒体从业人员的地步。中美双方的舆论攻势和各自国家的政治制度、社会形态的特点息息相关,其阶段性效果与中美既有的国际影响力相匹配。在美国对华大打舆论战的情况下,中国在西方发达国家的形象受损,但在国内极大地凝聚了人心、提振了士气。未来,美国可能仿效针对苏联和俄罗斯的做法,将舆论战更多地和心理战、政治战相结合,以服务其遏制中国的目标。为增强自身的国际传播力,更好地服务与美国的舆论战,中国需要维护好政治安全,提高话语和叙事能力及舆论反击效果,将传统媒体和新兴媒体相融合,并将发展中国家作为国际传播的重点,以逐步形成同我国综合国力和国际地位相匹配的国际话语权。     

Cuba: heading for a new development and political model – an introduction

Cuba, this iconic revolutionary island which has brought so much hope to the Third World and, at one point, worry for a nuclear World War III, is going through a process of change never seen since Fidel Castro led his revolutionary forces to triumph around New Year’s of 1959. Yet, 10 years into the change process, led by the younger Castro Raúl (now 85), nobody can really forecast where the country will end up in socio-economic and political terms. In this TWQ subsection, two economists and three political scientists – two Cubans and three European Cuba watchers – analyse the reforms and their possible outcome.     

Obama's Middle East Policy

Obama's Middle East policy comes to its epilogue with the end of his 8-year White House tenancy.An aspirational speech in Cairo in 2009 and the shrinkage of US military in the Middle East in 2017 are the bookends to a shelf of events and decisions that are already being parsed and judged by historians and foreign relations experts.Bringing democracy to the Middle East is no longer a major US goal.When measured against the Pivot to Asia-Pacific and a potential pro-Russia foreign policy under Republican President Donald Trump,the Middle East is now seated as a second violin in American foreign policy.     

Varieties of regional monetary cooperation: a tool for reducing volatility in developing economies?

Can regional monetary cooperation shield developing regions from global volatility? The article argues that the main contribution of regional monetary cooperation to enhancing the shock-buffering ability of its member countries is to provide short-term liquidity and to increase regional trade and financial links. In contrast, traditional optimum currency area (OCA) theories formulate the advantages of regional monetary cooperation in terms of allocative efficiency gains and aim at a full currency union as final stage. As such, traditional theory widely ignores the shock-buffering capacity of regional monetary cooperation as well as their varieties. In contrast, the article argues that intermediate stages of regional monetary cooperation have their own rationales related to such shock-buffering capacity. This paper systematically examines the variety of regional cooperation arrangements in the developing world that range from regional payments systems over the pooling of reserves to exchange rate coordination. We propose that the potential for shock buffering is dependent on the chosen form of cooperation. Furthermore, in contrast to full monetary integration, which is highly demanding in terms of policy coordination, the requirements for regional policy coordination are significantly lower, depending on the form and aim of the arrangement.     

Trends of Obama＇s Foreign Policy

Different views exist in the Chinese and foreign academic circles regarding the foreign policy that Obama is likely to pursue. Some scholars emphasize the continuity of American diplomacy, saying that the room for policy readjustment is limited, while others stress the transformative nature of American diplomacy, thinking that Bushism has failed and Obama will certainly abandon Bushism in some important policy areas and make a fresh start.     

Exiting Afghanistan

<正>The United States prepares to begin withdrawing troops from Afghanistan U.S. President Barack Obama outlined steps for the United     

Analysis of the Strategic Influence of the Ukraine Crisis

Because the Ukraine crisis involves far more than domestic conflict, the geopolitical competition between the West and Russia has heated up. This has not substantially changed power relations, but with Ukraine inclining to the West, the U.S. and Russia are strategic adversaries there. Since disagreements between Europe and Russia are moderated by energy needs, sanctions against Russia can only go so far. The sanctions, however, have meant stronger cooperation between China and Russia, putting the U.S. at a disadvantage even while it continues its Asia-Pacific "rebalancing" strategy.