2010年越南:政治、经济与外交

2010年,越南政治持续稳定。经济仍保持较高的增长,并超过预期目标,但也存在不少问题,如反腐力度不够,各项改革有待深化;贸易逆差和高通胀等因素仍是困扰经济的主要问题。外交上则亮点突出,尤其是越南在担任东盟轮值主席国期间,取得了有目共睹的积极外交成果。     

缅甸2010年大选前的政治经济形势

缅甸2010年大选在即,除了对外关系上与美国的关系出现转机之外,其国内政治经济形势也很值得分析.首先是民主运动节节退却,民盟将不参加大选;种族骚乱有惊无险,包括果敢在内的三支少数民族地方武装已经被改编成边防军;经济上受惠于宽松的环境,也取得了较大的发展.     

Regionalism in the Asia‐Pacific — a response to Kanishka Jayasuriya

This paper is a response to the debate generated in the special issue of The Pacific Review on ‘Ideas, policy networks and international policy coordination in the Asia‐Pacific’. It suggests that an understanding of the discourses and practices of regionalism in the Asia‐Pacific has to be based on a broader account of societal discourses and a sharper delineation of the policy process specific to the region.     

南海问题分析与预测(2010—2011)

2010年南海问题的发展轨迹已经限定了2011年南海问题的发展趋势。2011年,美国与东盟轮值主席国印度尼西亚将有力地影响南海问题的走势。由于矛盾错综复杂,各方期待的《南海地区行为准则》相对于《南海各方行为宣言》行动指南更加难以落实。南海问题除了对相关各国的传统影响仍将继续存在之外,对区域国际关系和地缘政治的影响将有所增加。     

印尼2010年政治、经济、外交形势回顾与展望

2010年是苏西洛总统连任后的第一年,多起反腐案件冲击印尼政坛,影响了执政效率,但是印尼政局基本保持稳定;这一年印尼大大小小的自然灾害不断,造成了极大的人员和财产损失,但是印尼经济却呈现稳步增长势头,对外关系良好发展。     

The Resilience of Monarchised Military in Thailand

ABSTRACT

This paper argues that conventional notions of Thailand’s military must be re-examined because they misrepresent the military’s role in politics. Instead of examining its material interests, one must also scrutinise the power and legitimacy of Thailand’s armed forces in terms of its connection to monarchy over time. The relationship between monarchy and military represents a “parallel state”, whereas the ideology, rituals and processes within this relationship result in what can be termed a “monarchised military.” The purpose of this nexus is to sustain a palace-centred order from which the military obtains legitimacy. From 1991 until 2014, the monarchised military mostly operated behind a defective democracy, although it occasionally carried out coups to re-assert the palace’s authority. Its more recent political intrusions have enhanced the military’s power on Thailand’s political stage. Civilian prime ministers have unsuccessfully sought to reign in the military, but to no avail owing to the armed forces’ close association with monarchy.     

China＇ s Maritime Security and Its Choices

Over recent years,China’s maritime security and associated issues have become a focus of international interest.What are the major factors in China’s maritime situation? How should we perceive the challenges that the situation poses to China’s national interests? What is likely to be     

新加坡2009:经济、政治与外交

本文是对2009年新加坡国内形势的简单回顾,主要分为经济与贸易、政府与政治以及外交与国际关系三大部分,最后对新加坡与中国的关系以及2009年国内出现的新加坡研究进行了简单介绍.     

印度-东盟自由贸易区浅论——基于印度的视角

冷战结束以后,印度主动加强与东盟国家之间的交流与合作,并积极融入亚洲区域经济一体化的进程.在双方共同努力下,印度-东盟自由贸易区得以从构想走向现实.作为主权国家,印度在推动印度-东盟自由贸易区的发展过程中有其深刻的内在利益和战略考量.当然,作为主权国家之间的一种战略博弈,印度-东盟自由贸易区全面建设的进程绝非一帆风顺.