我国战略机遇期所面临的国际格局演变

近年来,随着国际力量对比＂东升西降＂加速发展,围绕国际秩序与规制建设,新老力量展开激烈斗争,这将对国际格局的演变产生深刻复杂的影响。中国快速发展与美国＂重返亚太＂,推动亚太地区在国际格局中的地位进一步上升。     

国际格局演变新趋势

美欧日等西方国家集体陷入困境与新兴大国的群体强劲崛起,使国际力量对比日趋平衡。中国快速发展与美国“重返亚太”,推动亚太地区在国际格局中的地位进一步上升。国际力量对比的深刻复杂变化引发国际秩序与规制之争,给地区的和平与稳定以及国际格局演变带来深刻长远的影响。     

U.S.-China-Japan Relations and China＇ s Strategic Choices

japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe＇s visit to the Yasukuni Shrine has escalated tensions between China and Japan that were triggered by the Diaoyu Islands dispute. Changes in the balance of power between China and Japan have caused concerns and strategic restlessness in Japan. Because of public opinion and his party＇s control of the House of Representatives and Senate, Abe is now eager to further his aims both domestically and overseas. That is why he said： ＂Now is the time for Japan to take the big step in building a new state.＂ The U.S. supports a stronger Japan because it is looking to maintain the strategic balance in the Asia-Pacific region. Its Asia-Pacific Rebalancing strategy is bound to inflame Japan＇s ambitions. In fact, Japan has been actively pursuing stronger ties with the U.S. and became more aggressive over the Diaoyu Islands issue.     

俄罗斯亚太战略及其多重影响

亚太战略形成是普京执政期内俄罗斯外交战略上的重大调整,其核心在于将远东乃至整个俄罗斯融入亚太经济一体化之中,提升俄在亚太地区的地位与作用.俄亚太战略涉及三大地缘目标——周边方向、欧洲方向、亚太方向,带有鲜明的地缘政治与经济特点.在亚太地缘安全上,俄战略东移在一定程度上对亚太军事力量起到了再平衡作用.在亚太地缘经济上,俄资源禀赋为亚太各国能源战略提供了一种选择,其交通地理优势为亚太国家通往欧洲物流提供了国际运输便利,对整个地区战略格局将产生影响.在亚太地区政治与经济格局中,中国应采取联俄睦邻政策,抗衡美国亚太战略部署：一是构建中俄安全利益共同体,推进亚太地区安全体系转型;二是构建中俄经济利益共同体,推进东北亚区域经济一体化进程;三是构建亚太命运共同体,推进中国与亚太地区良性互动.     

中国的和平崛起与亚太地区的机遇

“中国崛起”是当今世界的一个热门话题。去年以来,党和国家领导人多次在公开讲话中提出中国要走和平崛起的新道路：胡锦涛总书记在去年纪念毛泽东诞辰110周年座谈会及今年中共中央政治局第十次集体学习时．两次讲到中国要“坚持走和平崛起的发展道路”,温家宝总理去年12月在哈佛大学的演讲中也曾谈到中国和平崛起的问题．何谓“和平崛起”?中国如何走和平崛起的新道路?中央党校原常务副校长、中国改革开放论坛理事长郑必坚同志是最早提出这一命题的学者之一,本刊特邀他撰文对这些问题进行解答．     

World Geopolitics and China＇s Choices

Since the beginning of the 21st century, international geostrategic thinking has experienced two important changes. First, the rise of the Asia Pacific region as a global economic power has shifted the world geopolitical center of gravity from the Euro-Atlantic region to the Asia Pacific region at an ever increasing speed. Second, globalization along with Asia Pacific＇s rise has shaken up world geopolitics. Traditionally, geopolitics centered on power struggles and preparations for war but this is now dying out. New geopolitics emphasizes global interdependence and cooperation. These changes provide a rising China with new opportunities. They are creating favorable conditions for the nation in its ascendance. China now needs to formulate a new geostrategy.     

抗日战争与中国的国际形象

艰苦卓绝的抗日战争,不仅是为中国而战,为生存而战,也是为亚洲和欧洲的光明而战。世界法西斯侵略战争的第一把战火是由日本点燃的。日本侵略中国,决不单单是为了灭亡中国,更重要的是企图把中国当作北侵苏联、南下太平洋,并进一步对外扩张、称霸亚洲称雄世界的“基地”和“跳板”。因此,日本法西斯不仅仅是中国的敌人,而且也是整个亚太地区乃至世界各国人民的共同敌人。从这一意义上说,中国的抗日战争一开始就是世界性的。