Is China’s rise now stalling?

The variations on power transition theory so widely used to frame analysis of U.S.–China relation tend to assume the inevitability or at least strong probability of China surpassing the United States in economic power if not necessarily military power. In the terminology of social psychology’s attribution theory, China is imputed with the identity of a state that is inevitably rising. The Chinese Communist Party encourages this attribution among Chinese people and foreigners. But China’s economic rise – the foundation of its comprehensive rise – appears to have entered an inflection point in the mid-2010s and may now be stalling. In critical respects, China increasingly resembles the last two countries that ‘attempted’ a globe-level rise: the unsuccessful cases of postwar Japan and the Soviet Union. China’s labor force is shrinking; the country relies excessively on unsustainable debt increases to fuel economic growth; and pollution is seriously harming public health. But even if China’s rise conclusively stalls, it may take quite some time before the Chinese public and outside observers recognize the new reality because of intrinsic biases in the cognitive logic of attributing identities to actors.     

论警察权的政治意蕴及其科学发展

当代警务改革围绕着警察权展开，警察权的维持秩序、惩治犯罪和服务社会三大内涵及其发展背后都离不开“警察权为什么存在”这一问题，而这需要从警察权的政治意蕴来思考其科学发展，通过政治意蕴可以更明确认识警察的应然角色和警察权机制的目标与任务。     

现阶段我国协同治理研究的反思

梳理现阶段我国协同治理理论研究成果,正确阐释协同治理理论研究的相关要点,是进一步深入研究协同治理理论的基础。     

Regime and Power in International Terror Crises: Strong Democracies Fight Back Hard

This study explores regime, power, and violence in international terror crises (ITCs). It examines terror strikes and retaliations against the terror groups and their hosts. The exploration tests two hypotheses: first, democracies, like other states, retaliate, even at the risk of escalation; and second, strong democracies fight back with massive violence as do authoritarian regimes. Historical narratives of ITCs from 1934 to 2006 show that strong democracies were the most common targets of terror. Like authoritarian states, they responded to terror, but were the most violent retaliators, followed by weaker states, democratic or not. So the democratic constraints affect weaker states more than stronger ones. These trends draw attention to the destabilizing nature of international terror and its challenge to the peaceful resolution of international disputes.     

我国“强县扩权”改革研究综述

“强县扩权”是指在暂时不涉及行政区划层级调整的情况下，将一部分归属于地级市的经济管理权和社会管理权直接赋予经济强县（市），以推进县域经济的发展。从1992年浙江省第一个试水并取得一定成效后，“强县扩权”便在我国掀起了一股势不可挡的改革趋势，实践中，我国多数省份逐步踏入改革浪潮，理论界、学者们也纷纷投入精力，从不同的视角对强县扩权改革进行研究。文章选取了近年来被引用次数最多的部分文献作为参考，对“强县扩权”改革做简单文献综述。     

Examining the immanent dilemma of small states in the Asia-Pacific: the strategic triangle between New Zealand,the US and China

ABSTRACT

Small states throughout the Asia-Pacific are confronted by a growing dilemma over how to balance their traditional security ties with the US and rapidly growing trade with China. This gives Washington and Beijing potential leverage over small states to use within their competition with one another. This article explores the implications of this for New Zealand – a small South Pacific state that prides itself on maintaining an independent foreign policy. Situated within the small state literature, it utilises a material-based strategic triangle to illustrate the fundamental facets of New Zealand's position. Relatedly, the article examines how Wellington has managed its burgeoning relations with China and the US over the past decade and critically considers New Zealand's independent foreign policy. It finds that New Zealand has adopted a mixed set of strategies to manage its position between the US and China, closely aligning itself with Washington while remaining nonaligned on some key security issues in the Asia-Pacific region. New Zealand has certainly not opted for neutrality. The article concludes that New Zealand and other small states must remain vigilant, may want to consider alternative strategies of alignment, and outlines a number of areas where additional research could prove fruitful.     

突发公共卫生事件防控期间警察调查访问策略研究

公安机关作为社会稳定的第一道防线,应当在突发公共卫生事件防控期间全力与犯罪分子作斗争。调查访问作为案件侦查的第一步,在这种环境下应该从准备、实施、方法、原则上进行一定改进,制定细致的出警计划表、基本信息统计表以及问题提问细则表,从安全防护和心理学方面改变传统调查访问思想。     

我国财税法治建设的破局之路——困境与路径之审思

环顾经济、政治现代化的时代背景,财税法治建设是新时期改革进路中的重要环节,也是开创新局面的有效关口。面对着此群体利益与彼群体利益、稳定性与变革性、代议制民主与行政高效率等多重矛盾,难免使我们对前路进行再度审思。要突破僵局,亟需从摆正财税法的性质定位、调整立法主体的结构、加快立法或修法的进度、理顺立法与改革的关系等角度切入,通过整体、全面的路径构建,强化全国人大的税收同意权和预算审批权,进而达致财税法律体系完善、法治观念融贯、法权配置协调的"良法善治"目标。     

维护社会稳定的民主法治建设思考

通过民主、法治以及对权力的监督来治理不公平和腐败等问题,建立公平正义、诚信友爱、充满活力、安定有序的和谐社会。