南亚区域合作联盟与东盟的经济关系：限制因素和有利因素

在新区域化逐渐形成的新背景下,以及在印度重新热衷于实行其“面向东方”政策之后,本文力图强调这样的因素和势力:它们决定了南亚和东南亚这两个新兴重要地区之间贸易与投资的一般特征与潜力。为此,本文试图主要从南亚,特别是印度的观点来研究这些问题,在它们看来,中国当然已经成为一个不容忽视的最重要势力。     

试论中国——南盟经贸合作制约因素及经济一体化之道

中国和南盟的经贸合作对于加快南盟发展和促进中国——南盟经济一体化有着重要作用。当前南亚国家普遍存在的对华贸易赤字，印度对中国的严重猜疑，世界金融与经济危机的冲击成为制约中国与南盟合作的主要制约因素。通过提升中国在南盟中的地位，从次区域和双边合作项目着手，是推进中国与南盟的区域一体化进程的重要措施。     

Conflict management strategies in ASEAN: perspectives for SAARC

ASEAN has generally been hailed as one of the most successful experiments in regional cooperation in the developing world, particularly in its ability to manage conflicts and maintain peace and security in Southeast Asia. SAARC, its counterpart in South Asia, on the other hand, is perceived as a moribund organization that has made little progress in furthering peace and cooperation in the region. Regionalism is indeed peculiar to its own region making for a different set of challenges, which each regional grouping has to address by evolving suitable modelsof conflict management and regional cooperation. ASEAN and its unique style of functioning are also distinct in that sense. While the experiences of one organization cannot be wholly applied or transplanted on to another, it is useful to understand the logic and dynamics in each region to draw the relevant lessons. Some aspects of cooperation in one region may be worthy of emulation in another if adapted in the right socio-economic and political context. This paper explores areas where SAARC, despite obvious divergences with ASEAN in its geopolitical and economic make-up, could benefit from the ASEAN experience in seeking to create a political climate conducive to improving regional cooperation in political and economic matters. The ASEAN model of conflict management may be of greater significance to South Asia in light of greater imminent regional tensions arising from the current war on South Asia’s border in Afghanistan.     

南亚水环境治理困局及其化解

近年来,南亚国家围绕水环境治理取得了一系列进展,不仅加大了双边合作力度,而且为南亚地区进一步合作开发水资源夯实了基础。但由于各国发展阶段与经济实力差异等原因,在水环境治理方面面临短期方向不明、动力不足等难题。此外,南亚地区的水资源争夺严重伤害了国与国之间的感情,成为当前南亚地区关系紧张的催化剂,而国际社会参与南亚水环境治理开发,大国博弈又加剧了地区矛盾。当前,南亚国家在水环境治理合作的道路上可谓一波三折。南亚地区特殊的"历史记忆"导致彼此间命运共生理念认同难度大,"战略互信"的缺失又制约着国家层面友好关系的拓展。以"命运共同体"理念为指导,进而通过"共情"行动来积极推进南亚水环境治理合作,不仅有助于培育国家间感情,也有助于推进水环境治理综合机制建设乃至实现地区整合发展。同时,亚洲有关各方也应该抓住南亚社会经济整合转型的机遇,以参与水环境治理为契机,进一步通过"共情"实践推动南亚经济治理向着更加合理的多边合作态势发展,形成彼此间新形势下的相互依存关系,最终促进南亚地区的整合发展与地区繁荣。     

区域经济一体化如何突破安全困境 ——以南亚区域合作联盟为例

20世纪90年代以来，伴随着发展中国家区域经济一体化的再度兴起，地区冲突和动荡的安全局势也为区域经济一体化带来了消极影响。作为摆脱安全困境的一种有效手段，区域经济一体化在抑制成员国间冲突升级、发挥和平效应时会受到不同条件的制约。作者从现实主义的逻辑出发，以南亚区域合作联盟为例，分析了区域经济一体化与区域内成员间冲突形势之间的互动，认为区域经济一体化进程未能产生和平效应的根本原因在于，它未能通过机会成本机制提高成员国的收益预期，高层互动机制和争端解决机制在信息沟通和冲突管理方面的作用也受到很大的制约。冷战的结束、经济全球化的发展为区域经济一体化和平效应的发挥提供了有利的环境和条件，只有进一步强化区域经济一体化的制度水平，扩大和深化区域经济一体化的程度和范围，增加多议题之间的联系，强化高层互动机制和制度的独立性，才能更好地发挥区域经济一体化制度的和平效应，尽快走出安全困境。     

South Asian Peacekeeping: Regional Possibilities

South Asia contributes the largest contingent of peacekeepers to the United Nations, and yet remains a fragile region in terms of peace within its own borders. This article argues that, although the implications of South Asia’s engagement in global peacekeeping operations has been the subject of academic study, not enough attention has been paid to how South Asian expertise in peacekeeping can be harnessed as a resource for regional cooperation.