Affirmative action,duality of error,and the consequences of mispredicting the academic performance of african american college applicants

The implications of different potential affirmative action policies depend on three factors: selection rate from the applicant pool, base rate of qualified applicants, and accuracy of performance predictions. A series of analyses was conducted under various assumptions concerning affirmative action plans, causes of racial differences in average college admissions test scores, and racial differences in accuracy of performance predictions. Evidence suggesting a lower level of predictive accuracy for African Americans implies that, under a program of affirmative action, both proportionately more false positives (matriculated students who do not succeed) and proportionately more false negatives (rejected applicants who could have succeeded) will be found among African American applicants. Unless equivalent levels of predictive accuracy are achieved for both groups, no admission policy can be fair simultaneously to majority group applicants and African American applicants. © 2002 by the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management.     

Use of regression analysis in reconstruction of maximum bone length and living stature from fragmentary measures of the ulna

The present study deals with the computation of linear and multilinear regression formulae for reconstruction of ulnar length and stature through eleven fregmentary measures pertaining to linear, transverse, sagittal and circumferential dimensions of the ulna bone. A total of 288 ulnae, belonging to 82 male and 62 female documented skeletons have been measured for this purpose. The data reveals a non-significant bilateral variation in the fragmentary measures of the ulna while the sex differences are highly significant at 1% level. Keeping this in view, separate regression equations have been formulated for both the sexes. The study further highlights that the upper shaft circumference is the best predictor of ulnar length among all the fragmentary measures while stature can best be reconstructed using the breadth of olecranon. However, the maximum length as a non-fragmentary measure provides the most accurate estimate. In order to increase the accuracy in prediction of ulnar length and stature, multiple regression equations have also be constructed and used.     

Does financial inclusion stimulate India's economy: A panel data analysis

The study empirically examines the connections between three different measures of financial inclusion with output growth across the states of India. Applying the panel co-integration and error correction model for 26 states and 4 union territories, it concludes that all three measures of financial development with gross fixed capital formation enhance real net state GDP significantly in the long run. Further, a significant reduction in the real net state GDP is also observed during the Global Financial Crisis. This study is important for the Indian policymakers to formulate effective financial inclusion policies leading to the overall development of the Indian economy.     

The Civilization of Extremes

This essay makes a comparative assessment of two works dealing with contemporary India. Gupta explains why India has not taken off despite its impressive growth. Nilekani examines the ideas that have shaped the debate about India's development. The essay argues that Nilekani is more optimistic about India's future than Gupta. Gupta's book is a major work that will stand the test of time. Nilekani's book is novel in that he is an entrepreneur who became an author. These are contrasting works. Gupta asserts that growth in India has not led to development. Nilekani argues that India's growth has become more broad-based. Gupta says that the statistics behind India's success hide its underlying failures. Nilekani considers growth to have become more broad-based. Nilekani's moral vision is concerned with ideas, Gupta's is with people. The essay concludes that Indians may be too optimistic about their achievements, but India also has successes to show.