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关于俄罗斯是否患上“荷兰病”的实证分析
引用本文:郭晓琼.关于俄罗斯是否患上“荷兰病”的实证分析[J].俄罗斯研究,2009(5).
作者姓名:郭晓琼
作者单位:中国社科院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所俄罗斯经济室
摘    要:俄罗斯是否患上"荷兰病"的问题一直是个学术界近年来争论的焦点.本文根据 "荷兰病"的理论模型,分别从国际油价上涨是否导致汇率上升、制造业部门是否表现出"去工业化"现象和工资上涨的效应是否存在这三方面,运用协整检验等实证分析方法,讨论了俄罗斯是否患上"荷兰病"的问题,并综合三方面的实证分析结果,得出了俄罗斯存在一定程度的"荷兰病"现象的结论.

关 键 词:俄罗斯  "荷兰病"  资源转移效应  支出效应  实证分析

An Empirical Analysis Regarding Whether Russia is Suffering fromDutch disease
Guo Xiaoqiong.An Empirical Analysis Regarding Whether Russia is Suffering fromDutch disease[J].Russian Studies,2009(5).
Authors:Guo Xiaoqiong
Abstract:Whether Russia is suffering from Dutch disease has been a focus of debate in the academic community in recent years. Based on the theoretical model of Dutch disease and empirical analysis approaches including co-integration test, this article has discussed whether Russia is suffering from Dutch disease from three aspects: whether rising international oil prices led to the exchange rate appreciation, whether the de-industrialization phenomenon is appearing in the manufacturing sector and whether the wages ar...
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