传统与非传统:十年国际关系的两种解读--兼评亨廷顿《文明的冲突与世界秩序的重建》

近十年来,传统的安全威胁与非传统的安全威胁相互交织,非传统威胁的影响日益上升;相应地,传统的国际关系理论与非传统的国际关系理论难决高下,非传统理论似将占据上风.根据近十年来的国际大事进行检测,也许可以较客观地评判以"文明冲突论"为代表的非传统理论的现实有效程度,也许还可以评判传统理论在目前"非传统环境"中的生存能力.

Conventional and Non-conventional:Two Interpretations to International Relations in Last Decade

The non - conventional security problems have seemingly taken a position more important than conventional security during the last ten years. Therefore, the non - conventional theories of international relations have been regarded as much more perceptive than the conventional one. Through a reviewing of the events happened in the last ten years, this article detects how the non - conventional theories, which is represented by Samuel Huntington's "Clash of Civilization", is effective, and why the conventional theories is still applicable in such a non-conventional situation today.