再谈农业人口与非农业人口的统计问题

“也谈农业人口与非农业人口的统计问题”发表后,农业人口统计资料失真后该怎么办,我国目前到底是农业人口多还是非农业人口多?这成为笔者需向同行和读者认真回答的两个问题。对前者其办法不外乎以下五种:一是取消农业人口与非农业人口的划分,而代之以乡村人口与城镇人口;二是继续让原有的农业人口与非农业人口资料滥竽充数;三是借用联合国粮农组织数据库中有关中国农业人口的资料;四是公开宣布公安系统统计的人口数据是农业户口的人口与非农业户口的人口;五是千方百计搞一套接近实际的中国农业人口与非农业人口资料。前三种办法均不可取,第四种办法从公安系统来说,也许有一定的保留价值,但它无助于农业人口与非农业人口统计问题的解决,所以,只有第五种办法才是科学合理的;对后者,如截至目前,肯定是非农业人口比农业人口多。

On the Statistical Problems of Rural Area Population and Non-rural Area Population

gricultural product,gross domestic product,number of labors,fostered population of critical years,the authors show that China is still a country busy with food finding,also weird is that rural area labors population is larger than rural area population in some years.Further analysis shows that there exists a problem of distortion of statistical data concerning enumeration of rural area population and non-rural area population.The reason is just that method of enumeration is wrong.Also presented are the countermeasures against this problem.