Voting and economic factors in French elections for the European Parliament |
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| Authors: | Antoine Auberger |
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| Institution: | 1. LARGEPA-IRGEI, University of Paris II, 7 rue de la grande chaumi??re, 75006, Paris, France
2. Maison des Sciences Economiques, CES, University of Paris I, 106-112, bd de l??H?pital, 75647, Paris cedex 13, France
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| Abstract: | This article builds and estimates several econometric models that explain and forecast the outcomes of the French elections for the European Parliament. These models show the influence of the change in the local unemployment rate to explain the vote for the moderate Left and the moderate Right in the French elections for the European Parliament. These models appear to be accurate in forecasting the elections of the past, and their behavior for the 2009 French election for the European Parliament is satisfactory. |
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