Turning Point Analysis: Using Survey Research to Call Changes in Consumer Behavior and Predict Sales Taxes |
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| Authors: | Douglas A. Macdonald Lois Haggard |
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| Affiliation: | Chief economist and the director of the economic and statistical unit of the Utah State Tax Commission.;Director of the Survey Research Center at the University of Utah. |
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| Abstract: | ![]()
Forecasters often disagree on revenue predictions because of differing techniques. Some states, such as Utah, have turned to the use of survey research methods to avoid this dilemma. This article reviews many of the national forecasting models examining consumer sentiment currently in use. And it compares the Utah experience with surveys used in other states. |
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