The nature of economic perceptions in mass publics |
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| Authors: | Michael S. Lewis-Beck Nicholas F. Martini D. Roderick Kiewiet |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Department of Political Science, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA;2. Department of Political Science, University of Iowa, 341 Schaeffer Hall, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA;3. Division of Humanities and Social Sciences, 228-77, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91125, USA |
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| Abstract: | Voters who believe that the nation's economy has been worsening are more inclined to vote against the incumbent president than are those who believe it has not been getting worse. This relationship could be present because voters condition their support for the incumbents upon their perceptions of the economy, or, alternatively, because they condition their perceptions of the economy upon their underlying, partisan-based support of the incumbents. |
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| Keywords: | Economics and elections Kramer problem Economic voting Endogeneity and the economy |
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