特朗普时期美朝关系变化轨迹与未来走向

特朗普就任美国总统以来,美朝关系经历了对抗与危机时期、缓和与蜜月时期以及僵持时期三个阶段。在对抗与危机时期,美国对朝采取经济制裁、军事演习等极限施压举措;在缓和与蜜月时期,美国对朝采取首脑峰会、工作磋商的接触政策;在僵持时期,美国对朝"谈压并举"。新冠肺炎疫情也没有给美朝关系改善提供机会之窗。而贯穿始终的是美国对朝制裁毫不放松。特朗普本人及其幕僚对奥巴马政府的对朝政策十分不满,积极应对突飞猛进的朝鲜核导技术,掌握在东北亚地缘战略竞争中的主导权。这成为特朗普政府对朝政策的动因。特朗普政府对朝政策推动了无核化谈判的展开和朝鲜半岛局势的缓和,但美朝无核化谈判依然陷入梗阻。

The Change Track and Future Trend of US-DPRK Relations During the Trump Administration

Since Trump took office,the relationship between the United States and North Korea has gone through three stages:the period of confrontation and crisis,the period of detente and honeymoon,and the period of stalemate.During the period of confrontation and crisis,the United States imposed Maximum Pressures on the DPRK such as economic sanctions and military pressure.During the period of detente and honeymoon,the United States adopted a policy of engagement policy with North Korea such as summit meeting and working-level consultations.During the period of stalemate,the United States adopted the policy of both negotiation and pressure.Nor does the COVID-19 outbreak offer a window of opportunity for improving relations between the United States and North Korea.US sanctions against the DPRK has not been relaxed throughout.Trump himself and his aides are very dissatisfied with the Obama administration’s policy towards the DPRK.In order to master the dominant power in the geo-strategic competition in northeast Asia,they actively deal with the DPRK’s rapidly advancing nuclear and missile technology.This has been the driving forces behind the Trump administration’s policy towards North Korea.The Trump administration’s policy towards the DPRK has promoted the denuclearization negotiation and the easing of the situation on the Korean Peninsula,but the denuclearization negotiation between the DPRK and the US is still stuck in obstruction.