基于灰色分析的群体性事件情报预警

灰色区间预测是一种基于灰色系统理论的预测方法,被广泛应用于军事、经济等社会科学领域。群体性事件是一个内容复杂、信息繁冗的灰色系统,系统中含有很多无法预知的黑色数据,这些未知信息的存在对正常的数据分析产生着负面的影响。灰色预测模型的引入恰好可以解决这一问题,对于群体性事件的情报预警工作具有重要的实践意义。

Early Intelligence Warning of Massive Disturbance Based on Grey Analysis

Grey prediction mode is a predicting method based on the grey system theory,which is widely used in military,economy,etc.Massive disturbance case is a grey system with plenty of black data and all kinds of information.There are plenty of unpredicted black data inside the system,which has a negative influence on the analysis of the normal data.The introduction of the grey prediction can just solve the problem and will be of great importance in the prediction of the massive disturbance.