| 南海问题分析与预测(2010—2011) |
| |
| 引用本文： | 宋燕辉,鞠海龙. 南海问题分析与预测(2010—2011)[J]. 东南亚研究, 2011, 0(3): 49-54 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 宋燕辉 鞠海龙 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 台湾“中央研究院”欧美研究所台北
2. 暨南大学东南亚研究所广州510630 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 广东省普通高校人文社科重大攻关项目“南海开发与广东省海洋经济建设研究”(10ZGXM84002); 暨南大学科研培育与创新基金研究项目“南海争端中的现实主义与建构主义”(10JYB2059) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 2010年南海问题的发展轨迹已经限定了2011年南海问题的发展趋势。2011年,美国与东盟轮值主席国印度尼西亚将有力地影响南海问题的走势。由于矛盾错综复杂,各方期待的《南海地区行为准则》相对于《南海各方行为宣言》行动指南更加难以落实。南海问题除了对相关各国的传统影响仍将继续存在之外,对区域国际关系和地缘政治的影响将有所增加。
|
| 关 键 词： | 南海问题 动态分析 趋势预测 |
Analysis and Forecast of the South China Sea Issue(2010-2011) |
| |
| Yann-huei Song,Ju Hailong. Analysis and Forecast of the South China Sea Issue(2010-2011)[J]. Southeast Asian Studies, 2011, 0(3): 49-54 |
| |
| Authors: | Yann-huei Song Ju Hailong |
| |
| Affiliation: | Yann-huei Song & Ju Hailong(Institute of European and American Studies,Academia Sinica,Taipei,China,Institute of Southeast Asian Studies,Jinan University,Guangzhou 510630,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | The developing trajectory of the South China Sea Issue in 2010 has restricted the trend of the issue in 2011.America and Indonesia,the new chairman on duty of ASEAN,will impress powerful effect on the future of the issue.Limited by the complicated contradictions,there is no chance for the Code of Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea(COC) will be consulted and worked out before the Guidelines for the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea(DOC).Except the countries around the South ... |
| |
| Keywords: | the South China Sea Issue Dynamic Analysis Trend Forecast |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
