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基于自组织理论解析美日台三边关系的结构性困境
引用本文:张仕荣.基于自组织理论解析美日台三边关系的结构性困境[J].当代亚太,2009(4).
作者姓名:张仕荣
作者单位:清华大学科技与社会研究所;
摘    要:2008年以来两岸关系逐步趋于缓和,中、美、日三国围绕台湾问题的博弈也正在向着有利于台海地区稳定的方向转换,但是美日"以台制华"的战略思维定势不会轻易改变。本文基于复杂性科学中的自组织理论,深入剖析历史上形成的美日台"同盟"关系以及当前面临的结构性困境,同时就如何在中美日关系三边架构中处理好台湾问题提出相关建议。

关 键 词:自组织理论  美日台关系  结构性困境  

Structural Quagmire of US-Japan-Taiwan Trilateral Relations from the Perspective of Self-Organizing Theory
Zhang Shirong,Post-Doctoral Fellow,Center for Science,Technology , Society,School of Humanities , Social Sciences,Tsinghua University.Structural Quagmire of US-Japan-Taiwan Trilateral Relations from the Perspective of Self-Organizing Theory[J].Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies,2009(4).
Authors:Zhang Shirong  Post-Doctoral Fellow  Center for Science  Technology  Society  School of Humanities  Social Sciences  Tsinghua University
Abstract:With the gradual warming of cross-Strait ties since 2008,the maneuverings of China,the United States and Japan with regards to the Taiwan issue have also shifted towards maintaining greater stability in the region.However,the US' and Japan's strategic thinking to use Taiwan to contain China will not easily change even with this shift:This article applies I Prigogine's self-organizing argument of the chaos theory to analyze the historical formation of the US-Japan-Taiwan"alliance".Even though"selforganized"i...
Keywords:Self-organizing Theory  US-Japan-Taiwan Relations  Structural Quagmire  
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