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Hearing the Noise: Economic Sanctions Theory and Anomalous Evidence
Authors:T Clifton Morgan
Institution:1. Rice Universitymorgan@rice.edu
Abstract:Our understanding of economic sanctions has progressed significantly over the past three decades. Sanctions scholars have done a remarkable job at using empirical anomalies to guide theoretical developments and then using these to guide the next iteration of data collection and empirical testing. Here, I argue that mounting empirical evidence suggests it is time to develop a new theoretical perspective. I identify a number of empirical results, some unpublished, that are hard to reconcile with existing theory, and I argue that there is enough consistency in these results to suggest which way to turn.
Keywords:economic sanctions  strategic interaction  theory
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