中国省际制造业收敛与省际经济增长分异研究——来自部门生产率增长与跨部门资源再分配的视角

文章将生产率增长分解为部门内生产率的增长和部门间资源的重新配置，分析造成中国省际制造业收敛而整体经济增长分异的原因。研究发现：服务业部门在省际间的发散是导致整体经济不收敛的关键原因，但不是全部原因；尽管制造业的生产率在省际间是收敛的，但是由于制造业劳动力加速转出，导致制造业收敛对整体经济的收敛作用被产业结构的变迁削弱了；从农业流出的劳动力进入服务业和非制造业部门，而不是劳动生产率更高的制造业部门，产业结构变迁对整体经济增长的实质拉动作用受到限制。

The Mystery of China's Interprovincial Manufacturing Convergence & Differentiation of Overall Economic Growth——From the Perspective of Sector Productivity Growth & Cross-sector Redistribution of Resources

This article breaks down productivity growth into intra-sector productivity growth & inter-sectoral resource reallocation, & analyzes the reasons for the convergence of China's inter-provincial manufacturing industry & the differences in overall economic growth. The conclusions are as follows: (1) The growth of the service sector is diverging across provinces. The divergent growth of the service sector may be the key cause of the overall economic inconsistency, but not all. (2) Although the productivity of manufacturing industry has accelerated convergence across provinces, the convergence of manufacturing industry on the overall economy has been weakened by changes in the industrial structure due to the accelerated transfer of labor in the manufacturing industry. (3) The labor outflow from agriculture enters the service industry & non-manufacturing sectors, rather than the manufacturing industries with higher labor productivity. Therefore, the substantial pulling effect of the changes in the industrial structure on the overall economy is limited.