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A discussion of the merits of random man not excluded and likelihood ratios
Authors:John Buckleton  James Curran
Institution:aESR, PB 92021, Auckland, New Zealand;bDepartment of Statistics, University of Auckland, PB 92019, Auckland, New Zealand
Abstract:DNA mixture interpretation is undertaken either by calculating a LR or an exclusion probability (RMNE or its complement CPI). Debate exists as to which has the greater claim. The merits and drawbacks of the two approaches are discussed. We conclude that the two matters that appear to have real force are: (1) LRs are more difficult to present in court and (2) the RMNE statistic wastes information that should be utilised.
Keywords:DNA  Mixtures  Likelihood ratios  Random man not excluded  Cumulative probability of inclusion
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