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高等教育与经济水平关系的统计分析
引用本文:孙绍荣,张文敏,黎丽.高等教育与经济水平关系的统计分析[J].公共管理学报,2004,1(3):75-84.
作者姓名:孙绍荣  张文敏  黎丽
作者单位:上海理工大学,管理学院,上海,200093
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(79870024),上海市自然科学基金资助项目(99ZH14028)
摘    要:用人口加权方法对世界各国的高等教育入学率与人均GNP、农业产值比例关系、服务业产值比例关系、城市化人口比例关系进行统计回归,利用软件进行曲线估计,以此确定在众多回归模型中的最适合模型。利用数学模型,可以为我国的高等教育规划提供科学依据。

关 键 词:高等教育入学率  人均GNP  农业产值  服务业产值  城市化人口  统计分析
文章编号:1672-6162(2004)03-0075-10
修稿时间:2004年3月24日

Research on the Relationship between Higher Education and Economic Development
SUN Shao-rong,ZHANG Wen-min,LI Li.Research on the Relationship between Higher Education and Economic Development[J].Journal of Public Management,2004,1(3):75-84.
Authors:SUN Shao-rong  ZHANG Wen-min  LI Li
Abstract:By the way of weighting population,regression analysis is used in this paper to investigate the relationship between the enrollment rate of higher education and GNP per capita,value of agricultural output,service industry output,and urbanized population proportion.Curve estimations are made with the statistic software SPASS.The conclusion of the research is that:the convexity curve of the relationship between higher education and GNP per capita is steep first and then smooth.That is to say,in the beginning period of economy,the scale of higher education will increase quickly with the economic development.But when the economy comes to a certain period,the increase of higher education scale will slow down,and then settle at a steady speed.
Keywords:Enrollment of higher education  GNP per capita  Value of agricultural output  Value of service industry output  Population of urbanization  Statistical analysis  
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