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泰国危机综合征:越南重蹈泰国覆辙?
引用本文:陈平,王玉主.泰国危机综合征:越南重蹈泰国覆辙?[J].南洋问题研究,2008(4):41-47.
作者姓名:陈平  王玉主
作者单位:大连海事大学经济与管理学院,辽宁大连,116026;中国社会科学院,亚洲太平洋研究所,北京,100007
摘    要:在深入分析泰国1997年货币危机的特征、发生机理的基础上,本文探讨了最近几年越南的经济形势,认为当前越南的经济困境具备泰国危机综合征的典型特征。未来越南经济形势具有不确定性,能否最终避免重蹈越南覆辙,取决于越南政府能否有效控制通胀、有序调整资产价格和改善贸易收支。

关 键 词:泰国危机综合征  越南  资产泡沫

The Syndrome of Currency crisis in Thailand : Is Vietnam Following the Same Old Track?
CHEN Ping,WANG Yu-zhu.The Syndrome of Currency crisis in Thailand : Is Vietnam Following the Same Old Track?[J].Southeast Asian Affairs,2008(4):41-47.
Authors:CHEN Ping  WANG Yu-zhu
Institution:CHEN Ping, WANG Yu-zhu ( Economic and Management School, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Liaoning, Institute of Asia-Pacific Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100007)
Abstract:Based on the retrospect of the symptom and generative mechanism of 1997 Thailand currency crisis,this paper will focus mainly on the economic situation of Vietnam in the past few years.Our analysis shows that the economic embarrassment that Vietnam government has been facing since last year share the main characters with the syndrome of Thailand's Crisis.The future of Vietnamese economy is full of uncertainty.Whether Vietnam can be immune to currency or financial crises depends on Vietnamese government's ability to control inflation,adjust asset price orderly and improve balance of payments.
Keywords:syndrome of Thailand currency crisis  Vietnam  asset bubble
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