| 美国个人消费的趋势探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 卢林.美国个人消费的趋势探讨[J].美国研究,2010(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 卢林 |
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| 作者单位： | 开发银行—华东师范大学国际关系与地区发展研究院;上海美国研究所; |
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| 摘 要： | 财富效应和信用杠杆是第二次世界大战以后美国个人消费增长的主要驱动因素。在2007至2008年次贷危机后,由于金融界致力于规避风险,政府着手强化对金融业的监管,美国财富积累和消费信用杠杆的政治、经济和社会基础都受到了严重侵蚀;此外,美国人口分布也正在酝酿结构性的变化。这一切预示着美国人的消费意愿和能力将保持在一个较低的水平上。因此,以预期美国消费上升为基础的宏观或微观发展战略,将面临越来越严重的风险。
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| 关 键 词： | 美国经济 消费模型 财富效应 信用杠杆 政府干预 |
American Personal Consumption:Wealth Effect, Credit Leverage and Demographic Impact |
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| Lu Lin.American Personal Consumption:Wealth Effect, Credit Leverage and Demographic Impact[J].American Studies Quarterly,2010(1). |
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| Authors: | Lu Lin |
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| Abstract: | Wealth and leverage were the most important drives of the post World War II growth of American personal consumption. The economic, social and political foundations of the high level of wealth and leverage have witnessed significant erosion especially since the financial and economic crisis triggered by the subprime mortgage meltdown during 2007~2008, due to risk aversion of the financial industry and intensified regulation of the government. This erosion, together with the aging of the baby boomers and the ... |
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