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Long Term Influences of Age–Education Transition on the Brazilian Labour Market
Authors:ERNESTO FRIEDRICH DE LIMA AMARAL  EDUARDO LUIZ GONÇALVES RIOS‐NETO  JOSEPH E POTTER
Institution:1. Universidade Federal De Minas Gerais, Brazil;2. University of Texas at Austin, USA
Abstract:The objective of this study is to estimate the long term mean earnings of the male Brazilian population, taking into account the ageing process of the population and the increase in educational attainment. Using census data, household sample surveys, as well as population and education projections, estimates indicate that an ageing population and an increase in education will have a 2 percent impact on the annual growth of an average income in Brazil by 2050. The challenge for the future is to improve the proportion of the Brazilian population with completed college degrees.
Keywords:demographic transition  educational transition  cohort size  economic development  projection of earnings  Brazil
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