基于当量死亡人数的群死群伤交通事故的特点分析及治理

以一次发生10人死亡以上特大道路交通事故为研究对象,以事故当量死亡人数为基础,拟合了2004-2010年事故的数学模型,指出其发展变化与总体形势高度正相关。2007-2010年间,3月与8月、16日与7日、昼间12小时,西南地区、二级公路与高速公路、平直路段,营运公司、客运车辆、2年以下及10-12年驾龄的驾驶人,发生或引发的事故损害后果更为严重。2009-2010年,因超速和超载等14种直接原因而发生,其深层次的间接原因中以运输企业安全责任制不到位更为突出。明确了科学合理地制定防治规划、强化路面执法管理、完善道路及交通安全设施、落实交通安全责任倒查制等治理措施的具体要求。

On Traffic Accident Characteristic Analysis and Management Basing on the Equivalent death tolls and injured People

Taking the serious road traffic accidents with more than 10 deaths as the research objects, basing oil the accident death tolls, we have made the teaching model of 2004-2010 years accident, pointing out that the changes and general tendency are in a highly positive correlation. During 2007-2010, 16th or 17th of March and August, 12 hours a day, in the southwest area, on the grade II highway and expressway, in the straight section, some travel companies, passenger vehicles and the driver with 2-year or 10-12 year driving experience would meet with accident damage easily with more serious consequences. During 2009 and 2010, 14 direct causes including over-speed and overload directly lead the occurrence of the accident. The deeper and indirect reason lies in the safety transportation responsibility of companies. This paper clearly suggests some specific requirements of governance measures including the scientific and reasonable development planning, the strengthening the control management of pavement law enforcement, the improving the road and traffic＇safety facilities, the implementing the traffic safety duty mechanism etc.