犯罪征兆信息评估与预警研究

防控犯罪是一个复杂的系统工程,其中的关键环节之一是掌握犯罪征兆信息。犯罪通常是有征兆可察的,犯罪征兆可通过信息提前感知。为有效扼制和减少我国社会转型期犯罪高发的态势,亟待研究探索一种利用犯罪征兆信息运算评估的定量结果来开展预警的简便实用方法,使公安实战部门能通过对犯罪征兆信息的甄别、分析和评估,超前预判可能面临的风险和危害,明确防控重点,合理配置防控力量,实现及时预警。

The Evaluation to the Signs of Crime Information and the Research of Early Warning

Crime prevention is a complicated systems engineering.The key for it is to command the signs of crime information.A crime is usually predictable and the signs of crime will be apperceived ahead of time.In order to reduce the situation of frequent crime in the social transformation period,a brief and practical approach that utilizes the outcome of the signs of crime information has been rapidly worked over.This kind of approach will lead police to a better way of discrimination,analysis and evaluation.To pre...