什么样的“闹大”成功了?--基于40个案例的定性比较分析

社会中层出不穷的"闹大"是公共治理状况的一面"镜子",也是转型时期政策议程建构的重要路径。本文采用清晰集定性比较分析(csQCA),对2003-2019年发生的40个"闹大"案例进行比较研究。研究结果表明,上级(层)政府支持是"闹大"成功的必要条件。推动"闹大"成功的充分条件组合共有八种,可具体归纳为制度框架使用模式、集体施压模式、专家引导模式和暴力强推模式等四种解释模型。公民"闹大"成功是多个条件组合的结果,在核心条件发挥基础作用的前提下,适当的辅助条件更容易触发政策议程,推动问题解决。文章为公民"闹大"的行动逻辑提供了新的因果解释机制,也为理解形形色色的"闹大"现象提供了新的理论工具。

What Kind of “Nao-Da” Succeeded?--A Qualitative Comparative Analysis Based on 40 Cases

The endless "Nao-Da" in society is a "mirror" of the state of public governance,and it is also an important way to construct a policy agenda during the transition period. In this paper,a crisp-set qualitative comparative analysis(cs QCA) is used to make a comparative study of the 40 "Nao-Da"cases that occurred in 2003-2019. The results of the study indicate that higher-level(level)government support is a necessary condition for the success of a "Nao-Da".There are eight sufficient combinations of conditions to promote the success of the "Nao-Da",which can be summarized into four explanation models:the use of the institutional framework,the mode of collective pressure,the mode of expert guidance,and the mode of violence.The success of citizens’ "Nao-Da" is the result of a combination of multiple conditions. Under the premise that core conditions play a fundamental role,appropriate auxiliary conditions are more likely to trigger the policy agenda and promote problem solving. The article provides a new causal explanation mechanism for citizens ’"Nao-Da" action logic,and also provides a new theoretical tool for understanding the various "Nao-Da" phenomena.