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文件形成时间鉴定的统计学方法初探
引用本文:杨旭,杨磊,曾林蕊,施少培,徐彻.文件形成时间鉴定的统计学方法初探[J].中国司法鉴定,2013(6):62-66.
作者姓名:杨旭  杨磊  曾林蕊  施少培  徐彻
作者单位:[1]司法部司法鉴定科学技术研究所,上海200063 [2]华东师范大学金融与统计学院,上海200241
基金项目:国家十二五科技支撑项目(2012BAK16805);上海市科委科技公关项目(11231203300)
摘    要:文件形成时间的鉴定问题一直是文书鉴定领域最具争议和挑战的疑难问题.尤其是如何利用文件要素与时间的关系,定量分析判断文件的形成时间。通过对一起印章印文盖印时间鉴定的实际案例,探讨了如何运用统计学方法定量分析印章印文阶段性特征中的定量特征与印文盖印时间之间关系,为印章印文盖印时鉴定提供一种定量分析的方法,也为如何进一步运用统计学方法定量分析文件形成时间的类似问题提供了一种研究思路。

关 键 词:文件中形成时间  统计学方法  盖印时间  线型模型

A Primary Study of Dating of Questioned Documents with Statistical Method
YANG Xul,YANG Lei,ZENG Lin-rui,SHI Shao-pei,XU Che.A Primary Study of Dating of Questioned Documents with Statistical Method[J].Chinese Journal of Forensic Sciences,2013(6):62-66.
Authors:YANG Xul  YANG Lei  ZENG Lin-rui  SHI Shao-pei  XU Che
Institution:1 (1.1nstitute of Forensic Science, Ministry of Justice, Shanghai 200063, China; 2.School of Finance and Statistics, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200241, China)
Abstract:To determine the formation time of a document remains the most controversial and challenging problem in questioned document examination, especially to date the document quantitatively by utilizing the elements in the document that correlate with time. Through a case of determining the stamped date of the impression on a questioned document, this paper discusses how to use statistical methods to relate the phase change features of stamp impressions with time quantitatively. It not only of- fers a quantitative analysis method for dating stamp impressions, but also provides a study approach for similar problems in dating of questioned document with statistics.
Keywords:formation time of questioned document  statistical method  stamped date  linear model
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