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认罪认罚案件量刑机制实证研究——基于1000份盗窃罪刑事判决书的定量分析
引用本文:刘婉婷.认罪认罚案件量刑机制实证研究——基于1000份盗窃罪刑事判决书的定量分析[J].西南政法大学学报,2021(1):86-103.
作者姓名:刘婉婷
作者单位:中国人民大学法学院
摘    要:认罪认罚作为法定情节,对案件的量刑结果影响重大。通过对1000份盗窃类案件刑事判决书的实证研究发现:认罪认罚对主刑量刑结果和缓刑适用、罚金金额高低都有重要影响;认罪认罚的态度对审前是否适用羁押性强制措施影响不大;积极赔偿、被害人谅解对认罪认罚类案件的量刑结果影响显著;认罪认罚与自首、坦白等法定情形存在交叉适用的情形。与未适用认罪认罚的案件比较,认罪认罚制度立法后的数据具有显著的主刑量刑减轻化效果。

关 键 词:认罪认罚  盗窃类案件  量刑  被害人谅解  赔偿数额

Empirical Study of Sentencing Mechanism in Guilty Plea and Punishment Cases:Based on a Quantitative Analysis of 1000 Thefts
LIU Wan-ting.Empirical Study of Sentencing Mechanism in Guilty Plea and Punishment Cases:Based on a Quantitative Analysis of 1000 Thefts[J].Journal of Swupl,2021(1):86-103.
Authors:LIU Wan-ting
Institution:(School of Law,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China)
Abstract:As a statutory circumstance,the guilty plea and punishment have a great influence on the sentencing result of the case.Through the empirical study of 1,000 criminal judgments in theft cases,it is found that confession and punishment have an important influence on the result of the main sentence and the application of probation and the amount of fines.Compared with cases where confession and punishment are not applicable,the data after the legislation of the guilty plea system have a significant effect on the reduction of the main sentence.
Keywords:confession and acceptance of punishment  theft cases  sentencing  victim’s forgiveness  determination of damages
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