香港青年内地发展政策与大湾区“融合发展”--基于HKPSSD数据的实证研究

促进港澳青年"北上"内地发展,融入国家发展大局,最终实现"人心回归",是"粤港澳大湾区"政策体系中的重要内容和目标。回归以来,中央已累计推出100多项鼓励香港青年到内地发展的政策,其效果和机制亟需进行评估。论文基于香港社会动态追踪调查HKPSSD数据,以国家认同作为政策效标,评估现有内地发展政策对香港青年国家认同的效应,并从心理层面考察其作用机制。研究发现,频繁返回内地对青年国家认同确有提升作用,心理融合在此过程中起到完全中介作用。该机制在通过倾向值匹配进行稳健性检验后依然稳健,并且心理融合的中介效应量有所上升。研究表明,香港青年内地发展政策已取得了一定程度的积极效应,心理融合在机制中起到关键的效能转化作用。在粤港澳大湾区"融合发展"的战略目标和制度框架底下,做好心理融合工作,将是香港青年内地发展经历转化为国家归属感的重要抓手。

The Mechanism of the Mainland Developing Policy Effect of for the Hong Kong Youth in the Context and Integrated Development Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area:An Empirical Study Based on HKPSSD Data

s An important goal of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area policy system is to encourage young people in Hong Kong and Macao to "go north"and integrate into the overall development of the country. Since the return of Hong Kong and Macao,more than 100 policies have been launched to encourage the youth of Hong Kong and Macao to return to the mainland. The national identity of Hong Kong’s young people has been an important consideration for the mainland’s policy to developcross-border youth culture in the Greater Bay Area. This study used tracking survey data of Hong Kong social dynamics to evaluate the effect of the national identity of Hong Kong youth by investigating its mechanism at the psychological level. It was found that frequent trips to the mainland had a positive effect on youth national identity,and psychological integration played a full intermediary role in this process. Even after a robustness test of the mechanism by propensity score matching,its mediating effect of psychological integration was still rising. This research reveals that the existing mainland development policy has achieved positive effects,and psychological integration plays a key role in the efficiency of transformation. Under the strategic goal and the institutional framework of "integrated development"of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,psychological integration will be a significant handgrip for young people in Hong Kong and Macao to transform their experience of the mainland as they develop their national identity.