| 台湾地区2020年“二合一”选举结果及其对政党政治的影响 |
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| 引用本文： | 林冈,周文星.台湾地区2020年“二合一”选举结果及其对政党政治的影响[J].台湾研究,2020(1):33-48. |
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| 作者姓名： | 林冈 周文星 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海交通大学国际与公共事务学院;上海交通大学学术委员会;上海交通大学台湾研究中心;上海市台湾研究会;哈佛大学肯尼迪政府学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 论文分析2020年台湾地区“二合一”选举结果及其对政党政治的影响。根据2016年以来三次选举中不同政党得票情况的起伏变化,观察“蓝、绿”和南北政治光谱的周期性变化规律,评估政党内部因素和外部环境对岛内选举结果的短期效应和长期影响,进而展望台湾政党政治的未来发展趋势。
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| 关 键 词： | 台湾选举 政党政治 国民党 民进党 第三势力 |
The“Two-in-One”Elections and Their Impacts on Party Politics in Taiwan |
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| Lin Gang,Zhou Wenxing.The“Two-in-One”Elections and Their Impacts on Party Politics in Taiwan[J].Taiwan Studies,2020(1):33-48. |
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| Authors: | Lin Gang Zhou Wenxing |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzes the outcomes of the 2020“two-in-one”elections in Taiwan and their impacts on party politics on the island.Through a detailed examination of dramatic shifts in votes gained by the“Blue”and“Green”parties over the past three rounds of elections since 2016,it attempts to detect the regular rule behind periodical changes in party spectrum and local political colors.The impacts of intra-party politics on the electoral outcome is explored,together with the impacts of external factors with short-term effectiveness and long-term influences.Finally,this paper presents a general prospect regarding future development of party politics in Taiwan. |
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| Keywords: | Taiwan Election Party Politics Chinese Nationalist Party Progressive Democratic Party the Third Force |
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