就业稳定性、市民化意愿与农民工消费

采用广东省 2740 份农民工调查数据，分析了农民工的稳定就业促进市民化意愿增强，进而增加 其消费的作用机理，并探讨了城市差异对其影响。研究结果显示，就业稳定性对农民工消费有着显著的正向影 响，并存在以市民化意愿为中介变量的中介效应。进一步研究发现，存在被城市差异调节的市民化意愿中介效应。 在非一线城市，市民化意愿的中介效应显著存在。而在一线城市，市民化意愿的中介效应则不存在，即一线城 市中就业稳定性并不能促进农民工的市民化意愿。因此，提升农民工的就业稳定性，在制定和实施差别落户政 策中应该对农民工开放更多机会，对促进农民工的市民化与消费至关重要。

A Study on the Employment Stability, Citizenship Will and Consumption of Migrant Workers

This study, based on the survey data of 2740 migrant workers in Guangdong province, makes an analysis on the mechanism of migrant workers'' stable employment in promoting their citizenship will, and eventually increasing their consumption. Further analysis has also been made on the impacts of urban differences on the above mechanism. The results show that employment stability has a significant positive impact on migrant workers'' consumption, in addition to a mediating effect of taking the citizen''s will as the intermediary variable. Results of further studies also reveal a mediating effect of citizenship will mediated across different cities. In the first-tier cities, the intermediary effect of citizen''s intension is insignificant, i.e. the employment stability does not promote migrant workers'' citizenship will; in contrast in the remaining cities, the mediating effect of citizenship will is significant. Therefore, it is of significance to promote the citizenship will and consumption of migrant workers by providing them more opportunities in formulating and implementing differential household register policies.