关于乌鲁木齐市皖籍农民工"逆流动"的理论探索

托达罗(Todaro,1969)的绝对收入差距假说把劳动力迁移作为农村劳动力对于城乡之间存在的预期收入差距做出的反应,对于中国目前出现的迁移现象--农民工大多迁入经济发展水平较高的中国东部地区--的确具有一般的解释力.但除这一主流趋势之外,我国的中部地区亦有相当多的农民工流向经济发展水平相对较低的西北地区,出现了"逆流动"的现象.笔者通过对新疆乌鲁木齐市皖籍农民工的调查访谈,取得了实地的第一手资料,以期对"逆流动"理论进行尝试性的探索.

Theoretical Exposition of Anhui Peasant Labors' Adverse Floating in the City of Urumqi

Todaro's hypothesis of the absolute income gap regards laborer's floating as the rural labor's response to the income gap that exists between town and country, which does explain the migration phenomenon that China appears at present--the rural workers mostly move into the area of east China with higher economic development level. However, besides this major trend, there are also quite a lot of rural workers flowing into relatively lower level area--the northwest of the economic development in the middle part of our country, which is kind of adverse floating. The author of the article interviews some Anhui rural workers in Urumchi of Xinjiang, obtains some firsthand materials on the spot, and tries to probe into the adverse floating theory.