开放经济条件下东北地区出口敏感度比较分析

在"十二五"规划中,我国提出了"全面振兴东北地区等老工业基地"的战略,但是作为东北地区经济助推动力之一的出口发展较为薄弱,敏感度不甚相同。所以,基于开放的经济环境,东北地区发挥出口增长的拉动效应、促进经济增长是当务之急。随着与国外地区经济往来的不断深入,汇率因素发挥了越来越重要的作用,协整检验和状态空间模型表明,汇率对东北地区出口的影响程度不断增强,为了应对汇率变动所带来的压力,东北地区应加强传统出口农产品的科技研究,改善出口结构,提升出口竞争力。

Comparative Analysis on Export Sensitivity of Northeast Region in Open Economy

In the twelfth Five-year Plan,comprehensive revitalization of old industrial base in Northeast China was put forward.As one of the economic drivers,export develops weakly and export sensitivity is different.Therefore,on the basis of open economy,northeast region should exert the pulling effect of export growth and promote economic growth.With the development of economic relations with foreign countries,exchange rate plays more and more important roles.Through cointegration test and state space model,the art...