| 东北亚国家贸易引力模型实证检验及潜力分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 李秀敏,李淑艳.东北亚国家贸易引力模型实证检验及潜力分析[J].东北亚论坛,2006,15(2):28-32. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李秀敏 李淑艳 |
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| 作者单位： | 东北师范大学,经济学院,吉林,长春,130117 |
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| 摘 要： | 近些年,东北亚国家的贸易问题,一直受到许多学者的关注。通过采用贸易引力模型从实证角度分析验证:决定东北亚各国2003年双边贸易状况的主要因素是:贸易伙伴的经济规模(GDP)、空间距离、人口和制度安排。根据东北亚各国之间应有贸易额的估计,中国对韩俄,日本对俄,韩国对日俄,蒙古对韩的出口潜力巨大。当务之急是扩大中、日、韩三国的经济合作。
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| 关 键 词： | 东北亚 贸易引力模型 实证检验 贸易潜力 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-7411(2006)02-0028-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年10月8日 |
Demonstration Test and Potential Analysis on Trade gravitation model of Northeast Asia countries |
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| LI Xiu-min,LI Shu-yan.Demonstration Test and Potential Analysis on Trade gravitation model of Northeast Asia countries[J].Northeast Asia Forum,2006,15(2):28-32. |
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| Authors: | LI Xiu-min LI Shu-yan |
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| Abstract: | Many researchers pay more attention to trade issues of Northeast Asia countries recently.Using trade gravitation model test and analysis,the main factors which decide bilateral trade in 2003 are: trade partner's GDP,space distance,population and system arrangement.Estimating to the volume of trade in Northeast Asia countries,export has great potential from China to Korea and Russia,Japan to Russia,and Korea to Japan and Russia.We should enlarged economy cooperation among China,Japan and Korea. |
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| Keywords: | Northeast Asia Trade gravitation model demonstration test trade potential |
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