| 东南亚五国宏观调控有效性及其经济增长动力分析——基于蒙代尔—弗莱明模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 张昱,田兴.东南亚五国宏观调控有效性及其经济增长动力分析——基于蒙代尔—弗莱明模型[J].东南亚纵横,2011(5). |
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| 作者姓名： | 张昱 田兴 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东外语外贸大学国际经贸学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东外语外贸大学"211工程建设项目"《东南亚主要国家贸易与投资环境暨广东中小企业国际化战略的研究》的研究成果 |
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| 摘 要： | 在凯恩斯理论框架下,本文根据东南亚五国经济运行基本状况运用蒙代尔-弗莱明模型对其从1970年至今的经济运行做了数量实证.随后对宏观调控政策的有效性进行了理论分析,并引入VAR模型对分析进行了验证,实证认为:适度宽松的财政和货币政策、降低利率、增加政府支出、发展国际贸易以及扩大总供给是拉动经济增长的有效手段.
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| 关 键 词： | 东南亚五国 蒙代尔-弗莱明模型 政策有效性 增长动力 |
Analysis on Macro-control Effectiveness of the Five Asian Countries and Its Economic Growth Power in Southeast Asia-Based on Mundell Flemming Model |
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| Zhang Yu,Tian Xing.Analysis on Macro-control Effectiveness of the Five Asian Countries and Its Economic Growth Power in Southeast Asia-Based on Mundell Flemming Model[J].Around Southeast Asia,2011(5). |
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| Authors: | Zhang Yu Tian Xing |
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| Institution: | Zhang Yu & Tian Xing |
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| Abstract: | The article use mundell-flemming model to make quantity demonstration respectively based on the Keynesian theory framework.Later on the effectiveness of macro-regulation policies are analyzed,introducing VAR model to verify analysis.This paper argues that moderate loose monetary policy,cut interest rates,increase government spending,develop international trade and expand foreign economic aggregate supply are the effective means to stimulate economic growth. |
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| Keywords: | Five countries in Southeast Asia Mundell-fleming Model macro-control effectiveness growth power |
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