2012年国际战略与安全走势分析

2012年国际战略与安全形势将承接2011年出现的新态势向前发展。全球经济发展依旧困难重重,美欧等西方家金融经济危机的政治社会效应更趋突出;中东地区动荡呈长期化趋势;美国将战略重心向亚太转移,导致亚太地区格局重组加速;国际规制将进一步变革重塑,中国扩大参与规制重建和提升国际话语权的紧迫性将进一步上升,与外部世界互动不断面临新情况和新挑战。

A Preview of the International Strategic and Security Tendencies in 2012

International strategic and security situation of 2012 will continue to move in a direction that connects the newly-emerging trends of 2011.Global economic developments are still beset with difficulties.Political and social effects of the financial and economic crises in the U.S.and the European countries are being felt more actually.The turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa tends to be long-lasting.The U.S.is shifting its strategic focus to the Asia Pacific,leading to a speedy reshaping of strategic setups in the region.International rules and regulations will be further changed or rewritten,while China appears poised,with greater urgency,for broader participation in the restructuring of those rules and regulations and for elevation of its discourse power in the international forums.As China’s comprehensive strength and international influence keep on growing,it will have to meet with new challenges in a new situation in its interactions with the outside world.