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中东剧变与阿拉伯世界的未来
作者姓名:Tang  Zhichao
作者单位:中国现代国际关系研究院西亚非洲所
摘    要:当前中东正经历的历史性剧变,不仅引发阿拉伯世界的集体大动荡,而且严重冲击地区政治、安全和地缘政治关系,也对大国的中东政策构成重大挑战。未来中东局势改革已势在必行;伊斯兰政治力量将增大,阿拉伯世界长期陷入内乱,伊朗、土耳其将谋求发挥更大地区影响力;美国全球战略与中东政策面临多重结构性挑战;欧盟在外交、能源、安全、移民等方面遭遇前所未有的压力;国际原油市场受冲击从而影响全球经济复苏。

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Drastic Changes in the Middle East and Future of the Arab World
Tang Zhichao.Drastic Changes in the Middle East and Future of the Arab World[J].Peace and Development,2011(4):29-34.
Authors:Tang Zhichao  Deputy Director  Associate Research Fellow of the Institute of West Asian  African Studies  China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations
Institution:China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations
Abstract:The on-going historical changes in the Middle East have not only provoked enormous upheaval en masse in the Arab world and political,security and geopolitical relationship in the region crumbled away on impact,and they also posed great challenges to the big powers' composition of their Middle East policies.Looking ahead,reforms in the regional situation must be enforced.Islamic political forces will grow in strength.The Arab world will be plunged into internal disorder over a long period of time,while Iran ...
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