The Accuracy of Handheld Pre‐Arrest Breath Test Instruments as a Predictor of the Evidential Breath Alcohol Test Results |
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| Authors: | Nayak L. Polissar Ph.D. Wassana Suwanvijit Ph.D. Rod G. Gullberg M.S. PStat |
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| Affiliation: | 1. The Mountain‐Whisper‐Light Statistics, Seattle, WA;2. Thaksin University, Muang Songkhla, Thailand;3. Clearview Statistical Consulting, Snohomish, WA |
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| Abstract: | Drunk driving is a serious threat to public safety. All available and appropriate tools for curbing this threat should be employed to their full extent. The handheld pre‐arrest breath test instrument (PBT) is one tool for identifying the alcohol‐impaired driver and enforcing drunk driving legislation. A set of data was evaluated (n = 1779) where the PBT instrument was employed in drunk driving arrests to develop a multivariate predictive model. When maintained and operated by trained personnel, the PBT provides a reasonable estimate of the evidential test result within the relevant forensic range (95% prediction interval: ± 0.003 g/210 L). ROC analysis shows that a multivariate model for PBT prediction of the evidentiary alcohol concentration above versus below the legal limit of 0.08 g/210 L has excellent performance with an AUC of 0.96. These results would be of value in evidential hearings seeking to admit the PBT results in drunk driving trials. |
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| Keywords: | forensic science pre‐arrest breath test breath alcohol multivariate model |
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