中美关系的战略基础:过去、现在与未来

以共同威胁或以共同利益为战略基础是发展中美关系的两条主要道路.冷战期间,以反对苏联威胁为主的中美关系战略基础随着冷战的结束而消失.反恐期间,以对付恐怖主义为主的中美关系战略基础具有相对的短暂性和脆弱性.美国反恐战争结束后,中美两国应考虑从共同利益中确定发展未来中美关系的建设性战略基础.经济互赖当是中美关系新的战略基础的首选.     

半个世纪中美关系发展的轨迹

今年2月27日是中美关系正常化30周年纪念日。回顾半个世纪来的中美关系发展轨迹,人们可以看到中美两国关系历经风雨,跌宕起伏,从未直线顺利发展过,而是在合作与摩擦中来回摇摆,波浪式前进。     

把握当前中美关系发展的有利与不利因素

当前国际政治环境中,传统安全与非传统安全问题相互交织,恐怖主义是对世界安全的最大威胁。霸权主义虽有新的表现,但国际政治环境总体上趋于稳定,霸权主义并不是当今世界的主要威胁。所以,我们观察问题不要事事处处与霸权主义相联系。在分析当前中美关系发展趋势时,更应该客观认识两国关系发展的有利与不利因素。     

金融危机与中美关系

当前的世界金融危机对中美关系主要有两方面的影响：第一，中美关系中的不对称性在减弱，两国关系正在朝着更均衡的关系发展；第二．两国间的相互依赖日益加深。     

宗教自由与中美关系

冷战结束后,宗教因素在美国人权外交中的重要性明显上升.<1998年国际宗教自由法>进一步使之得到强化.本文旨在探讨该法出台的历史背景与现时原因,并着重分析该法所反映出的美国人权外交新特点以及该法对中美关系的影响.     

最惠国待遇与中美关系

克林顿利用最惠国待遇问题压中国接受他规定的人权条件,反而使自己陷入困境。由于中国日益强大并对美国有重大利益等原因,克林顿最后决定延长中国最惠国待遇并使之不再与人权挂钩。这有利于加强和扩大中美经贸合作、促进中美关系的改善和发展。但由于克林顿政府还不准备彻底放弃对中国施压和遏制的政策,中美整个关系进一步改善和发展将是一个曲折和复杂的过程。     

中美关系曲折发展原因初探

今年是中美建交25周年。建交以来,两国关系有了很大发展,各领域的合作富有成效,给两国人民带来了许多实实在在的好处,也对维护世界和平和地区稳定发挥了重要作用。但中美关系的发展并非一帆风顺,甚至可以说麻烦不断,并出现过几次大的起伏。于是,人们得出了“中美关系好也好不到哪里去,坏也坏不到哪里去”的结论。正如钱其琛所指出的,尽管中美之间麻烦不断,但是总不至于破裂;而中美关系取得进展的时候,又往往冒     

承前启后 推动中美关系更好发展

中美关系是世界上最重要的一对双边关系,也是最复杂的一对双边关系,同时还是最成功的一对双边关系.无论就人口疆土,还是就综合国力、国际地位而言,中美都是世界上具有重大影响的两个大国.     

中美关系面临新的发展机遇

随着美国主流思想对中国的认知趋于客观和中国对美国战略判断的变化，中美关系发生了由“安全主导型”向“复合相互依赖型”的战略转变。这是中美关系近些年持续好转的结果，也是未来继续前进的基础。当前，国际金融危机不断深化，美国新自由主义正在逐渐主导奥巴马政府的外交观念，使得中美关系面临进一步发展的重大机遇期。由于中美之间尚缺乏令双方满意和国际社会认同的合作平台或机制，两国间也不排除出现风险的可能。     

新常态下中美关系发展的特征与趋势

2015年,中美关系的竞争与摩擦呈上升之势,一些领域的竞争与摩擦导向了不同的结果,与此同时,稳定双边关系的努力取得成功,双边合作取得新进展并赋予两国关系以新的重要性。中国表现出更大的主动性和对两国关系更强的塑造能力。奥巴马执政的最后一年,对华政策不会有大的变化,但在南海问题上失控的风险上升。下一届美国政府仍将在对华关系上综合运用接触、合作与制约、平衡两手,双边关系有可能出现局部紧张和对抗。中国将继续推动中美关系的结构性变化,并加强对这一关系的战术管理。     

Sino-U. S. Relations

A New View on Sino-U. S.Relations Sino-U. S. relations seem to have emerged into a more positive light in recent years. China and the United States have sustained a strong relationship since 9/11, for the simple reason that international relations at present require mutual support.     

The Strategic Dialogue and Sino-U. S. Relations

On August 1-2, China and the United States held a strategic dialogue. This is in fact the first mechanized strategic dialogue between China and America. Both sides decided to hold such a dialogue alternatively in each other's capital twice a year.The significance of the first comprehensive and mechanized senior dialogue between the two sides to discuss strategic issues of common interest cannot be underestimated. Therefore, it was an event that attracted worldwide attention. Apart from paying attention tothe dialogue itself, the media hope to fully understand the cause of the dialogue, the result of the first strategic talk, the influence of the talk on bilateral relations. The Editorial Department of Contemporary International Relations invited scholars from the Institute of American studies of China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations to hold a discussion to provide our readers some food for thought over relevant issues.     

战略对话与中美关系

8月1-2日,中美举行了战略对话。这实际上是中美之间首次机制化的战略对话。中美双方商定,这样的对话今后将轮流在对方首都举行,每年两次。中美双方就各自重大国家利益和战略关切首次举行全面、机制性的高层对话,意义不可低估,因此成为举世瞩目的大事。舆论在关注这次战略对话本身的同时,更希望充分了解战略对话的缘由如何、为什么要搞战略对话、如何评估首次战略对话的成果、战略对话对双边关系有什么影响等问题。为此,本刊编辑部特邀请中国现代国际关系研究院美国所的专家学者就此进行对谈,以期能够有益于相关研究、有助于读者全面深入地了解有关情况。     

Google and Sino-U.S. Relations

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton＇s speech against Internet censorship on January 21 raised contention with China over cyber policy, which flared after Google Inc. last week warned it could pull out of China over hacking and restrictions. The Google incident has attracted a great deal of attention and become a new hot issue between China-U.S.     

中美关系的长期走势

2010年头几个月中美关系的波折再次证明,中美两国在社会制度、意识形态、台湾问题等核心利益方面的不同、分歧、矛盾、对立、甚至时有对抗,限制了两国关系与两国间合作的发展.中国方面应清楚中美之间的这些不同、分歧、矛盾、对立,努力发展自己,以更有力、有效地应对美国干涉、挑战、威胁和危害中国核心利益的言行,使中美关系能够真正沿着健康、积极、合作的方向发展.     

Darfur and Sino-U.S. Relations

The Darfur issue has been influencing the Sino-U.S. relationship since July 2004. There are at least three reasons to say so. Firstly, China and the U.S. disagree,both on the nature of the issue and on its solution. Secondly,China and the U.S. have conflicting interests, especially their oil interests in Sudan and the African continent.Finally, U.S. domestic political forces have forced the issue onto the agenda of Sino-U.S. relations. Although the issue has become an unharmonious factor in the Sino-U.S.relationship, it has not damaged the bilateral relations too much. Instead, the two countries have been cooperating on the issue.     

The Three Images of Sino-U.S. Relations

In the early 1950s, Kenneth W. Waltz＇s book Man, State and War laid the cornerstone for a new branch of international relations theory called the Level of Analysis. The author of this paper believes that Sino-U.S. relations can be studied in a similar multi-dimensional way. Among Waltz＇s three images, the world strategic structure, i.e. the international image, has been the most decisive factor in the development of Sino-U.S. relations over most of the past 40 years.     

The Burma Issue in Sino-U.S. Relations

In January 2007, China and Russia vetoed a UN draft resolution on Burma with the result that the Burma issue has become yet another point of conflict between the U.S. and China. Although the Burma issue has been present for nearly 20 years, China and the U.S. have both successfully kept their differences under control. In the short term, it is unlikely that conflict will break out between China and U.S. over Burma. However, in the long term,there is still the possibility that the Burma issue could trigger a conflict between China and the U.S..     

Two Pillars for Long-term Sino-U.S. Relations

Sino-U.S. relationship has been supported by two pillars: one being their shared interests and points in common, and the other being that neither side has challenged, threatened or opposed each other’s core interests. The two powers should continue to strengthen these two pillars in order to maintain stable and positive relations.     

Transforming Sino-U.S. Strategic Relations

Sino-U.S. strategic relations have undergone profound transformations over the past thirty years. It is increasingly urgent to change and transcend Sino-U.S. strategic relations. However, rapid adjustments and changes in world pattem prevent China and the U.S. from drawing a clear picture of each other＇s strategy. Vagueness in strategy awareness leads to difficult strategic adjustment, impacting virtuous interaction and stable development of Sino-U.S. strategic relations. The U.S., as relatively more important part in bilateral strategic relations, needs to take an initiative in substantial moves.