“Int''''l Balance of Financial Terror” and U.S. Trap

Thecurtainhaslongrisenonafinancialwar——aharsherwarwithnosmokewhilepeoplearehailingtheendoftheCold Warandtheprospectofworldlastingpeaceandcommon prosperity.InhisTheClashofCivilizationsandtheRemakingof WorldOrder,SamuelHuntington,theEatonProfessorofthe ScienceofGovernmentandDirectoroftheCenterforInternational AffairsofHarvardUniversitylistedfourteenstrategicpointsof Westerncivilizationsindominatingtheworld.Thefirstpointis “topossessanddominateinternationalfinancialsystem,”the secondp…     

U.S. Int‘l Power: Comparison and Change

Four angles come to mind for an examination of vicissitudes in U. S. international power. You may take either a longer time span in as- sessing the basic situation of contemporary international power configu- ration and U. S. clout or opt for a much shorter time span in your sur- vey , say from the September 11 events up to the Iraq war. Or rather, you may start with the war on Iraq and focus on recent reverses in U. S. international power. Finally, a medium- to- long-range perspective is …     

Sino-U.S. Relations “Paradigms” and China＇s U.S. Strategy

In author＇s view, there are several alternative paradigms that could develop governing Sino-U.S. relations over the next decade. To keep the process of its rise uninterrupted, China should take active ...     

Obama Administration＇s Adjustment of U.S. National Security Strategy and Its Impact on China-U.S. Relations

On May 27, 2010, the Obama administration released its first national security strategy report, which makes a major readjustment of its predecessor＇s version with both continuity and change. It will have great impact on the international situation and China-U.S. relations.     

U.S. Misperceptions and China＇s Chances

China is rising. Will China catch up with or surpass the United States economically and militarily some day＇s？ There is no universally accepted answer. The author believes that as long as the United States makes no mistakes, it is unlikely China will catch up with the United States in the foreseeable future. However, based on history and current US policy there could be mistakes in areas such as anti-terrorism, China policy, immigration, etc. Any error on the part of the US will facilitate China＇s move to the fore.     

Looking at U.S. Int‘l Status in the Perspective of Its Inner Institution

America's international status is the key factor that determines the overall international structure. This is an old as well as a new topic in the academia of international relations. The Iraq war in 2003 reveals America's strong points and weak points as well. On the one hand, U. S. military strength is unmatched in the world; on the other hand, America is incapable of doing anything in dealing with many problems. This paradox caused scholars to ponder over the issues such as how strong Am…     

Chen''''s Scrapping of “NUC” and U.S. Predicament

On February27,2006,Chen Shuibian announced his decision tocease the operation of the“National Unification Council(NUC)and the application of its guidelines,”which further increased therisk of“Taiwan independence.”Chen s campaign for“Taiwan inde-pende     

The Rebalance of U.S. Asian Strategy and China＇s Strategic Advantage

U.S.has adopted areturn-to-Asiastrategy,but commentators disagree as to whether this is purely a military strategy,or a more comprehensive initiative combining economic and political objectives with military ones.My personal view is that it is primarily a security strategy,     

U.S.-China-Japan Relations and China＇ s Strategic Choices

japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe＇s visit to the Yasukuni Shrine has escalated tensions between China and Japan that were triggered by the Diaoyu Islands dispute. Changes in the balance of power between China and Japan have caused concerns and strategic restlessness in Japan. Because of public opinion and his party＇s control of the House of Representatives and Senate, Abe is now eager to further his aims both domestically and overseas. That is why he said： ＂Now is the time for Japan to take the big step in building a new state.＂ The U.S. supports a stronger Japan because it is looking to maintain the strategic balance in the Asia-Pacific region. Its Asia-Pacific Rebalancing strategy is bound to inflame Japan＇s ambitions. In fact, Japan has been actively pursuing stronger ties with the U.S. and became more aggressive over the Diaoyu Islands issue.     

Sino-U.S.Relations“Paradigms” and China’s U.S. Strategy

In author’s view,there are several alternative paradigms that could develop governing Sino-U.S.relations over the next decade.To keep the process of its rise uninterrupted, China should take active steps to push the relationship towards a cooperation paradigm and preventing it from sliding towards a conflict paradigm.The U.S.also needs to adopt a positive response.     

Encouraging a Neutral U.S. and Building Friendly Ties with China＇ s Neighbors

The U.S.has encouraged regional countries to gang up against China in seas around China as part of its strategy of returning to Asia.This looks like a new kind of Cold War directed against China which threatens the nation’s sovereignty.How can we interpret this new international situation     

U.S. Financial Crisis in Perspective： Disequilibrium in Both Global Economy and International Monetary System

The U.S. financial crisis is a result of its economic disequilibrium. With the dual deficit of finance and trade that resulted in excessive spending over time, financial crisis was triggered by the disequilibrium in the domestic economy when the U.S. economy＇s relationship with the outside was interrupted.     

How Can China, the U.S. and China＇ s Neighbors Interact Positively？

New DevelopmentsBefore the 2008 financial crisis,and especially before the U.S.began its return to Asia,relations between China,the U.S.and China's neighbors in East Asia were not a major issue.However,since 2010,relations have been stirred up.Take the Cheonan incident,the shelling of Yeonpyeong Island,the Diaoyu Islands dispute between China and Japan,the Huangyan Island confrontation between China and the Philippines,and the South China Sea issue,for example.Sino-U.S.relations have grown more complex,and sovereignty disputes between China and some of its neighbors have intensified.At the same time,relations between the U.S.and most of China'sneighbors have improved.The U.S.' decision to pivot to Asia contains many objectives.     

Protecting “The Prize”: Oil and the U.S. National Interest

American national security policy is based on a misunderstanding about U.S. oil interests. Although oil is a vital commodity, potential supply disruptions are less worrisome than scholars, politicians, and pundits presume. This article identifies four adaptive mechanisms that together can compensate for almost all oil shocks, meaning that continuous supply to consumers will limit scarcity-induced price increases. The adaptive mechanisms are not particularly fragile and do not require tremendous foresight by either governments or economic actors. We illustrate these mechanisms at work using evidence from every major oil disruption since 1973. We then identify the small subset of disruptive events that would overwhelm these adaptive mechanisms and therefore seriously harm the United States. Finally, we analyze the utility of U.S. foreign military policy tools in addressing these threats. Our findings suggest that the United States can defend its key interests in the Persian Gulf—the world's most important oil-producing region—with a less-intrusive, “over the horizon” posture.     

A Review of: “Joshua Alexander Geltzer. U.S. Counter-Terrorism Strategy and al-Qaeda: Signalling and the Terrorist World-View.”

Augustus Richard Norton, Amal and the Shi'a: Struggle for the Soul of Lebanon. Austin, TX: University of Texas Press, 1987. Pp. xxii + 238.

Leonard Weinberg and William Lee Eubank, The Rise and Fall of Italian Terrorism. London and Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1987. Pp.155.

Robin Erica Wagner‐Pacifici, The Moro Morality Play: Terrorism as Social Drama. London and Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press, 1986. Pp.360.

Leonardo Sciascia, The Moro Affair. London: Carcanet Press, 1987. Pp.175.     

Tackling Challenges in the Global Economy and Building a New World Order--China＇s Influence and U.S. Factors

Gtreat expectations rest upon the U.S. and China, as the biggest economies in the developed and developing worlds, with regard to tackling challenges in the global economy and building a new world order. The governments have enjoyed a solid cooperation within the framework of G20. A rising China looks forward to an improved economic order and more effective responsiveness to other global challenges, and so will begin to participate in global affairs with a positive and constructive attitude and bear responsibilities commensurate with her status. China has benefited from the existing global economic order, and so will try to be a reviser or a reformer rather than a revolutionist in the world economic system. This article will assess Chinese influence on the global economic order and related U.S. factors from a long-term perspective.     

＂Quasi-Cold War＂ between China and the U.S.： Characteristics, Causes and China＇s Response

Sino-U.S. relations are moving toward "Quasi-Cold War." Various factors contribute to Sino-U.S. "Quasi-Cold War". China should actively deal with this kind of situation, which will continue in the future, to prevent "Quasi-Cold War" sliding into a new "Cold War."