Prospect on the World Trend 2005 （I）

s ince the " Forecasting the World Scene in 2003 " and "Forecasting the World Scene in 2004" were published in the last two years, we have received surprisingly hearty repercussions from our readers. Though diversified, most responses are affirmative, appreciative and inspiring. They have strengthened our confidence and brought us pressure too. Indeed, it is by no means easy to abstract the trends of the ever-changing world, no wonder scholars of international studies frequently sigh with be…     

东南亚大事记（2005．7．1～31）

中国十届全国人大常委会第十六次会议通过了全国人大常委会关于批准中国和菲律宾引渡条约的决定。     

The Feature and Trend of the Relationship Among the Big Powers in 2003

Theyearof2003haswitnessedbigchangesandreadjustmentsintherelationshipamongtheworldbigpowers熏featuringtheapparentdivisionandre鄄alignmentofvariousmajorforcesintheworld熏moreintensifiedstrategicrivalryandinterestsscrambleamongthecountries.Theinternationalsituationwascharacterizedbyturbulenceandintranquility.Con鄄tradictionofvariouskindswerefurtherdeepened.Thepostureofmutualcompetition熏coordinationandcooperationamongbigpowerswasfurtherstrength鄄ened.InfluencedbyIraqwar熏KoreaPeninsulanu鄄clear…     

东南亚大事记（2005．8．1～31）

●1日,老挝人民革命党中央政治局委员、国家副主席朱马利亲切会见了以中共中央办公厅副主任毛林坤为团长的中共干部代表团,他表示加强老中全面友好关系符合两国人民的根本利益。●2日,中国全国政协主席贾庆林在北京会见了由中央主席团副主席杜维常率领的越南祖国阵线代表团。由杜维常率领的越南祖国阵线代表团是应全国政协邀请,于7月31日抵京访华的。●2日,马来西亚副总理兼国防部长纳吉布在吉隆坡说,马来西亚、新加坡和印度尼西亚3个马六甲海峡沿岸国家已原则上同意从下个月开始在马六甲海峡进行联合空中巡逻。马六甲海峡是连接亚洲、非洲…     

Views of China and Europe on the New Order of the World

The 7^th Sino-German Security Dialogue Seminar is focused on ＂China, Europe and a new world order＂. Our discussions should include the world order in general, as well as in-depth exchanges on specific issues in the area of international relations that both countries deem important. I want to get to the point directly by stating a basic point： although many factors in the international politics continue to change, as old challenges still exist and new challenges keep cropping up, there still remains a cornerstone for the world order, which is the Unites Nations. This is a starting point very close to the real politics： we must advance the international politics within current structure, and I would like to stress that such international politics must be international politics for peace.     

Develop Sino-Japanese Friendship and Promote Peace and Prosperity in Asia and the World（Address by Council Member Zhang Zhiming at the 53^rd Annual Meeting of Japan-China Friendship Association on May 22）

MycolleaguesandIfeelverypleasedtohavethisopportunitytoattendthe53rdannualmeetingofJapan-ChinaFriendshipAssociationinOsakaheretoday.WesincerelythankourJapanesefriendsforyourhospitalityandmeticulousarrangement.IfeelverygladtovisitJapanagainafter16yearssincemyfirstvisit.Overthepast30yearssincenormalizationofdiplomatictiesbetweenChinaandJapanontheprinciplesdefinedin″Sino-JapaneseJointStatement″″Sino-JapaneseTreatyofPeaceandFriendship″and″Sino-JapaneseJointDeclaration″bilateralrelati…     

China’s Economic Contributions to the World and East Asia

China’s continued high economic growth hasdrawn increasing attention of the world. However,it has received very different evaluations, withthe most representative and conflicting ones being“China threat theory”or “China harm theory”vs.“China opportu     

China-U.S. Relations： From ＂Standing Firm on the Ground at 30＂ to ＂Not Suffering from Perplexity at 40＂

Chinese philosopher Confucius once said that ＂at 30 I stood firm upon the ground, at 40 I no longer suffer from perplexity＂. Confucius＇ words prove that the current 30-year-old relations between China and the United States is basically standing firm on the ground. However, this relationship is by no means free from perplexities since there remain problems and troubles that might perplex its further development. In the next decade or even next 30 years, the two countries should make it their objective to push forward their relations from the current stage of firm-standing to a perplexity-free stage.     

俄罗斯大事记（2005年1-3月）

8日 俄罗斯联邦安全局印古什共和国分局发言人斯莫利亚尼诺夫宣布，俄联邦安全局部队当天在该共和国纳兹兰市进行的特别行动中击毙5名非法武装分子。     

Thoughts on China＇ s Diplomacy in a Changing World

The world has seen great changes over the past two decades:the emergence of new political forces,proliferating challenges and threats,and louder voices from new opinion agents.China’s foreign diplomacy is confronted with difficult issues in seeking to ensure a peaceful external environment to preserve its domestic stability and boost its modernization drive.Efforts need to be made to harmonize relationships in six key areas.     

Views on How to Break the Deadlock in the Sino-Japanese Relations

Inrecentyears,duetotheexistenceoftoomuchmisinterpretationandmisunderstandingaswellasthelackofknowingandunderstandingeachotherbetweenChinaandJapan,theSino-Japaneserela-tionshavebeenoutofbalancebybeing″economi-callyhotandpoliticallycold″andbyhaving″warmresponsefromthenongovernmentalcirclesandcoldreactionfromthegovernments″.Atthesametimetherehasbeenanunprecedentedcrisisofconfi-dencesincethenormalizationofdiplomaticrela-tionsbetweenthetwocountries.Inordertobreakthecurrentdeadlock,bothsideshav…     

Brief Introduction of the Chinese Association for International Understanding（CAFIU）

Founded in September 1981, the Chinese Association for International Understanding(CAFIU) is sponsored by and composed of political parties, social organizations, prominent personages, scholars and social activists from all walks of life in China. CAFIU, …     

美国与主要伊斯兰国家的关系：重塑与改造（续四）

三、美国与伊朗的关系伊朗是中东地区的大国和伊斯兰世界最具影响力的国家之一,也是现代伊斯兰复兴运动的旗帜。冷战后,美国对它实施遏制战略;“9·11”事件后,布什政府将其列为需着力对付的“邪恶轴心”国家;伊拉克战争后,伊朗成为美国改造“大中东”战略的下一个重要目标。美国与伊朗的关系构成影响美国与     

My View on the Taiwan Issue

TherecentcontinuouschaoswithintheTaiwanis-landhasbeencreatedtotallybyChenShui-bainandhissupporters.LeeTeng-huiandChenShui-bianarenowknownas″trouble-makers″.ThistagwasgiventothemnotbythemainlandofChinabutbytheU.S.andsomeothercountries.Infactonecannotfindanythingelsemoreappropriatethanthistagfortheminviewofwhattheyhavedonerecently.Afewyearsagotherelationshipbetweenthemain-landandTaiwanwasinaquitegoodtrendofdevel-opment.TheAssociationforRelationsacrosstheTaiwanStraitsonthesideofthemainlan…     

Greater Periphery and China, the U. S. and Neighbors

Lu: The world situation tends to be relaxed generally. Big powers often interact, especially in Asia, because China is developing and Asia is developing as well. When we review peripheral and regional situa- tions, we can see it. In China's concept of diplomacy, periphery is put at the foremost position and China's periphery is in a sense the U. S. ' strategic front. Therefore, building a greater peripheral environment, coping well with China's relations with the U. S. and China's Neigh-…     

东南亚大事记（2004．4．1～30）

●4月5日,针对美军太平洋司令部司令托·马斯·法戈上将4日在华盛顿说,美国计划向马六甲海峡派驻海军陆战队和特别行动部队,以防止恐怖分子在那里活动。马来西亚外长赛义德·哈米德在马联邦行政中心布特拉贾亚对新闻界说,马来西亚不需要美国派海军来维护马六甲海峡的安全,美国不应该在反恐名义下干预别国事务。印尼外交部随即也发表声明,表示反对美国在马六甲海峡派驻军队的计划。●4月7日,中共中央政治局常委、全国人大常委会委员长吴邦国在北京会见了自由党主席、参议长富兰克林·德里隆率领的菲律宾自由党代表团。他说,中国新一届领导集…     

The Deep-seated Influence of the Financial Crisis on the World Economic, Political and Security Structures

当前这场金融危机具有深刻的经济性和政治性根源合成、并发的特征,其影响将更为持久、广泛而深远.金融危机将全面启动新一轮国际金融乃至全球经济体系的改革进程,表现为全球金融体系朝着更加均衡、公平和综合方向改革的步伐加快,但全球金融/经济体系改革和过渡仍是一个长期而渐进的过程.金融危机推动了世界政治、安全格局的深度演变和改变国际政治议程的优先程序,对中国的对外关系提供了更多的战略机遇和挑战.