美国战略思想家托马斯·巴内特

托马斯·巴内特(Thomas P.M.Barnett)是美国战略思想界的后起之秀和一颗正在冉冉上升的"明星".在冷战后美国对外战略转型及其规划实施的辩论中,他以其创造性的、甚至是离经叛道的思想冲击着国际政治学界和美国决策层固有的思维模式.他提出的关于全球化时代的国际关系、国际危机模式、美国军事转型以及美国的结盟和战略选择等诸多观点,在各色理论中脱颖而出,并在美国对外政策实践中发挥着越来越大的作用.其著作被认为"无疑是我们时代最具影响力的书",他本人也被誉为"当代最有影响力的防务知识分子".①     

五角大楼的新地图

自冷战结束以来 ,美国一直试图提出自己的世界行动理论以及一个与之相配套的军事战略来。现在的这篇文章是这种努力的一个主要反映。文章涉及对于世界性问题的确认以及如何主动地去制约这些问题。自从“9·11”事件以来 ,本文作者 ,一个战争分析学的教授 ,已向国防部长办公室提出了建议 ,并不断把这一建议提交给五角大楼和情报部门     

Chinese warfare and politics in the ancient East Asian international system,CA. 2700 B.C. to 722 B.C.

Ancient East Asia is the second oldest “protobellic area” and pristine state system of international relations within the global international system, after West Asia (ancient Near East). In a previous study Cioffi‐Revilla and Lai (1995) reported the first findings on the origins and evolution of war and politics in ancient China (Legendary, Xia [Hsia], Shang, and Western Zhou [Chou] periods), ca. 2700 B.C to 722 B.C In this paper we make public an expanded data set (N = 104 cases, 12 variables; version 2.0), explaining our sources, measurements, and data quality control procedures. The new data set will permit investigators to test hypotheses about warfare distributions, ethnic and protracted conflicts, time series, periodicity, system dynamics, and structural relationships (e.g., war‐polarity theories). This new long‐range data set should also promote a new stage in comparative analyses of the universal and particular properties of warfare and international systems, both cross‐polity and longitudinally.