Identity in Flux, Destination Uncertain: Montenegro During and After the Yugoslav Wars

Montenegro's political evolution since the mid-1990s undermines the stereotypical view that disputes over nationality and territory in the Balkans are bound to end in violence. Montenegro's case also shows that ethnic identity is fluid rather than fixed in large parts of the region. Its bid for independence appears to be heavily dependent on the way that disputes between the Atlantic democracies and Serbia are resolved. Montenegro has formidable handicaps to overcome if it is to sever its constitutional links with Serbia and embrace full statehood. It is hard to see how this can be accomplished without international economic backing.     

Executive Succession and the Performance of Public Organizations

A theoretical framework is developed for the analysis of the impact of executive succession in public organizations. The central concepts in the model are the motives of chief executives, the means at their disposal and the opportunities available for influencing performance. The main hypothesis that flows from the model is that the effect of executive succession is likely to be small but significant. Furthermore, the strength of the impact of succession is contingent on a variety of external and internal circumstances. Seventeen testable hypotheses concerning these contingency effects are presented as a research agenda for studies of top management change in the public sector. The theoretical arguments are illustrated with reference to UK local government.     

关于比较政党研究基本路径的历史考察及其思考

政党和政党政治研究是政治学研究的传统题域之一,又是现代政治学的重要分支学科之一.通过对文献史的考察,可以看出有关政党研究的基本路径和相关成果.     

春秋战国时期国家间战争相关性统计分析

春秋战国时期,中国历史上爆发了上千次国家间战争,我们根据现有的历史文献和考古材料建立了国家间战争数据库。通过对春秋战国时期国家间战争的统计分析研究发现:血缘关系在短期内有助于国家之间的和平与友好关系,但从长期来看则会出现相反的情况;国家间战争与同文同种的关系或观念之间并不存在必然联系或因果关系。春秋战国时期的历史表明,多极体系比两极体系更有利于和平。     

"打两场战争"与"新帝国"之梦

据外电透露,布什总统近来身子骨已不如以 前,并且情绪起起落落。也真难为的了,要在这个纷乱的世界称霸,费心的事儿也太多。这不,新年刚一过,就又冒出一桩:朝鲜的核问题。在那边,调兵遣将,攻打伊拉克紧锣密鼓;在这厢,偏偏就在这紧要关头,朝鲜半岛风云变么了。朝鲜突然宣布有权拥有核武器,并退出《不扩散核武器条约》,半岛局势骤然紧张,立即吸引国际社会的极大关注。     

Modernisation,Managerialism and the Culture Wars: Reshaping the Local Welfare State in England

The story of local government over the last few decades is often summarised in the assertion that there has been a move away from institutional authority embodied in the structures of councils towards more complex networks of local governance, incorporating a range of stakeholders and other agencies, alongside a shift of power from local to central government. But local government has been at the centre of wider processes of restructuring - of attempts to modernise the welfare state, and specifically the local welfare state. Underpinning the changes that have faced local government (and created new forms of governance) has been a series of assumptions about welfare and how it is best delivered. These combine notions of community, neighbourhood, personal responsibility, workfare and partnership with a distrust of 'bureaucracy' and professional power. It is in this context that the 'modernisation' agenda - promising cultural change - has been driven forward, paradoxically combining a rhetoric of decentralisation and empowerment with an increasingly direct involvement by the institutions of central government and a range of other state agencies in the practice of 'local' governance. The emergent arrangements are increasingly characterised by forms of self-regulation as well as more differentiated management from above.