中朝金融合作的驱动因素与对策分析

2000年以来,中朝双边经贸关系迅速发展,人民币跨境流动规模不断扩大,但双方金融合作滞后于经贸合作,制约了经济资源在两国间的流动和有效配置。加强金融合作应立足于中朝经贸合作的长远规划,加强中朝双方中央银行的沟通与合作;推动双方边境地区的金融合作;发挥双方银行结算主渠道作用;加强双方金融监管合作;以"两岛一区"经贸合作带动双方金融合作。     

Getting to the Goal in Professional Military Education

Professional Military Education (PME) has been under fire from a broad range of critics for a variety of reasons, including credibility, intellectual rigor and administrative mismanagement. But PME provides an invaluable learning and growth experience to those beyond the select few of America's fighting forces who attend elite civilian graduate programs. The practitioner and security oriented curriculum, and inter-service and civilian mix of seminar students, is not available elsewhere. Therefore, PME must be fixed, not abandoned as some have suggested. A first step in fixing the problem is to identify gaps between what is intended by Congress and military leadership and what is being executed. This article proposes and outlines a study to identify those gaps.     

朴槿惠政府加快推进中韩FTA的经济动因分析

2012年中韩正式启动FTA谈判。朴槿惠就任韩国总统后公布了新政府的新通商路线图,强调中韩FTA的重要性和紧迫性,在访华期间发表的《中韩面向未来联合声明》中,明确了高水平、全面的中韩FTA的目标取向。拉动韩国经济走出低增长;消除中韩贸易的制度性障碍,扩大对华进出口;加大对华投资,吸引外国人直接投资;促进经济发展模式转换,提高经济增长潜力;在亚太地区经济一体化过程中发挥核心轴的功能;应对日本FTA的攻势等是韩国加快推进中韩FTA的主要经济动因。中韩FTA对发展中韩经济以及推动东北亚、东亚经济一体化有着重要的意义。双方应相互尊重、互谅互让为早日缔结中韩FTA而努力。     

Getting savages to fight barbarians: development,security and the colonial present

Development today is a radical and intrusive endeavour. Reflecting the interest of homeland security, it is embarked upon transforming societies as a whole within the global borderland. In attempting to secure the future, however, it is reaching backwards to reconnect and rejuvenate earlier colonial modes of governing the world of peoples. This article is a modest attempt to recover part of this genealogy. The concept of biopolitics is introduced and defined in relation to the differences between developed and underdeveloped species-life. In distinction to the life-supporting technologies associated with mass society, development is a biopolitics of population understood as self-reliant in terms of basic economic and welfare needs. The security function of such a biopolitics is that of bettering self-reliance as a means of defending international society against its enemies: it is the art of getting savages to fight barbarians. To give historic depth to this strategization of power, such a manoeuvre is demonstrated in the relationship between colonial Native Administration and insurgent nationalism. It is then used to provide a critical commentary on the interconnection between development and security, in particular, the relationship between sustainable development and internal conflict that shapes current perceptions of global danger. The conclusion briefly considers the cost of this episodic inheritance: a small part of the world's population consumes and lives beyond its means within the fragile equilibrium of mass society while the larger part is allowed to die chasing the mirage of self-reliance. Rather than addressing these divergent life-chances, the securitization of development is further entrenching them.     

俄罗斯气候政策转型的驱动因素及国际影响分析

作为世界第三大温室气体排放国和世界最大能源出口国,俄罗斯在国际气候协议谈判中的地位极其重要。自从梅德韦杰夫总统上任以来,俄罗斯政府一改过去的冷漠态度,在国内和国际两个层面采取了一系列行动,在应对气候变化问题上表现出积极的政治姿态,被国际社会解读为俄罗斯的气候政策出现了惊人的转型。分析俄罗斯气候政策转型的各种驱动因素以及由此带来的国际影响,对研究未来国际气候体制的发展趋势具有重要意义。     

Trading Refugees for Land and Symbols: The Palestinian Negotiation Strategy in the Oslo Process

This article analyses the negotiation strategy of the PalestineLiberation Organization regarding the refugee issue in the failedIsraeli–Palestinian peace process from 1993 to 2001. Itis argued that the PLO was on the brink of conceding the ‘rightof return’ for the sake of territorial concessions fromIsrael. The author discusses the implications of this strategyfor the domestic legitimacy of the Palestinian leadership, asgiving up the right of return would violate a core tenet inPalestinian national mythology. The PLO negotiators tried tosolve that dilemma by, first, separating the principle of returnfrom its implementation—making it possible for the PLOto remain committed to the principle, while offering compromiseson physical return—and, second, by demanding symbolicgestures from Israel, including acknowledgment of Israel's historicresponsibility for the refugee problem. It is argued that Israel'srefusal to offer a minimum of face-saving gestures preventedthe PLO from formalizing its compromise proposal.     

美英参战兵力和伊拉克军队简况

当地时间 3月 2 0日 5时 35分 (北京时间 1 0时 35分 ) ,美军向伊拉克首都巴格达南部发射“战斧”式巡航导弹 40余枚 ,伊拉克战争正式爆发。根据所掌握资料并综合各方报道 ,截至 3月底 ,双方参战兵力如下 :美英联军参战兵力及军事基地　　 (一 )美国参战部队 ,约 2 8万人。1 .陆军　约 1 5万人 ,已知有 :第 3机械化步兵师 ,下辖第 1、第 2、第 3装甲旅和 1个航空旅 ,共约 1 6万人 ,装备有坦克和装甲车共约 430 0辆。第 4机械化步兵师 (又称“常春藤”师 ) ,下辖 1个装甲旅、 2个机械化步兵旅、 1个航空旅和 1个炮兵旅 ,共约 1 7万人。装备…     

Getting ahead of the next disaster: recent preparedness efforts in Indonesia

While there is often a heavy emphasis on disaster response, disaster preparedness and mitigation are, rightfully, receiving more attention. In examining the state of preparedness in Indonesia, this article is divided into three sections. First, it reviews the hazards present in the country, such as conflict, earthquakes, and tsunamis. Second, it considers some of the current efforts underway by the government and international community. Finally, the article contends that the disaster-preparedness process is not yet complete. The main challenges remain: improving co-ordination between different organisations, creating a culture of disaster-risk management, implementing appropriate methods, and maintaining momentum on this issue in the future.     

Rise of the Intermediate Forces and Structural Changes in the World Pattern

The international pattern, relations between the major powers,global hotspots and the world economy remain in the process of deep-going adjustment and transformation. Some tendencies in this process are of symbolic significance and worth our attention. Faced with opportunities and challenges, China＇s external environment has become more complex. China as well as the world is confronted with numerous tests.     

Raising and Mentoring Security Forces in Iraq and Afghanistan

The effort to raise host nation security forces was central to the U.S. strategy in both Iraq and Afghanistan. The U.S. poured massive resources into both countries. Unfortunately, U.S. planners failed to understand the cultural and political environments in which these forces would have to operate. Thus, the United States attempted to build ministries and forces based on U.S. models that simply were not appropriate for those nations. Although the training teams successfully recruited, trained, and deployed almost a million Afghans and Iraqis, Iraqi forces have collapsed and the Afghans are struggling to keep the insurgents at bay.     

伊斯兰极端势力在中亚的活动情况

伊斯兰极端势力在中亚的主要代表是伊斯兰瓦哈比派,又称“瓦哈比运动”。该派别18世纪中叶兴起于阿拉伯半岛,因受到沙特王室的支持,很快在伊斯兰各派中取得支配地位,并成为建立沙特阿拉伯王国的思想基础,其教义被奉为国教。瓦哈比信奉真主安拉为唯一神明,坚持以“古兰经”和圣训为立教之本;主张以暴力保卫伊斯兰教的纯洁和权威,恢复其原始宗旨和教义,为此可对“异教徒”和“伪信者”开展“圣战”;认为只有建立以伊斯兰教为国教的政教合一国家才是“合法的”,其他都应推翻、打倒,具有浓厚的恐怖主义色彩。瓦哈比派近现代在阿拉伯半岛信徒众多,势力强大,并极力向周边地区渗透。     

伊朗宗教力量的发展前景

伊朗属于总统制共和制国家 ,但是 ,宗教势力掌管了国家一切权力 ,神权高于立法、行政、司法三权之上。政府力量和宗教力量的斗争自 1 979年革命以来就已存在 ,在多番较量后 ,伊朗政权有可能出现几种情况 :国家实现世俗化 ,即实行政教分离 ;政府力量与宗教力量斗争的僵局将导致民众暴动 ,甚至引发另一场人民革命 ,将宗教力量及其支持者扫地出门 ;宗教政治体制继续得到强化 ,甚至仿效梵蒂冈模式 ;伊斯兰模式 ;宗教政治体制逐步“标签化” ,“法基赫的统治”日趋形式化。当前 ,伊朗面临改革的动力和挑战。双方利益之争、力量对比变化、人民的要求和国际大环境的影响等诸多因素导致宗教力量的“标签化” ,将是伊朗社会的必然选择。     

Getting China Right： The Chinese World Order and Asia-Pacific Regional Integration

Is a rising China good for the stability and integration of the Asia-Pacific region？ The dominant point of view in the Western world is a resounding no. However, that realist point of view, based on the very different experiences of Europe, is not appropriate in the Asia-Pacific context. Area studies are a useful tool to achieve a better understanding of the Asia-Pacific situation. This paper attempts to prove that a rising China will be good for the stability and integration of the Asia-Pacific region through the lens of historical, economic and security analyses. First, history shows that once China is strong and stable, order of the Asia-Pacific region is preserved. Second, with China＇s economic cooperation with neighboring countries, especially after its entry into the World Trade Organization （WTO）, China＇s economic integration with the Asia-Pacific region has been enhanced. Third, regional security has been assured by a peaceful and strong China. Finally, the paper comes to the conclusion that a stable and strong China is beneficial for the overall stability and integration of the Asia-Pacific region.     

中亚"三股势力"再度活跃与我们的战略应对

中亚地区的三股恶势力(国际恐怖主义、宗教极端主义、民族分裂主义)在国际反恐力量的打击下一度受到遏制,但近来又渐趋活跃并进入新的高峰期.面对这一形势,改善并发展与中亚各国关系,强化地区合作组织的反恐职能和加速西部经济发展等,应是我们采取的战略对策.     

走出危机、重启对话与合作——中日关系的现状与前景

2012年秋钓鱼岛争端的激化在中日间引发了一场严重的安全危机,中日两国一度走到了军事冲突的边缘。2014年底,经过艰苦努力,中日双方达成四点原则共识,两国关系走出最危险的阶段,开始趋向稳定与改善。然而,中日关系仍然存在重大分歧并面临新的挑战。只有进一步落实四点原则共识,切实管理好两国的海上争端、历史摩擦,继续恢复与加强对话交流和尽力开展一切可能的合作,中日关系才有望逐步恢复正常状态,重新走上构建战略互惠新型关系的正确道路。     

美军欲进驻马六甲海峡的意图及影响

2004年4月,美国太平洋舰队总司令托马斯·法戈在国会作证时提出,将以反恐和打击海盗为名向马六甲海峡派遣海军陆战队,从而引起世界各国高度关注。2005年5月,美国总统布什访问东盟时,又提出美军进驻马六甲海峡的问题,再次引起了与马六甲海峡有着密切利