致中国读者

尊敬的朋友们! 我很高兴有机会向你们介绍我的第二部中文版文稿选集.书中收录的不仅有2002--2007年间我在俄罗斯一些活动中的讲话,也收录了我在各种国际论坛中的演讲.     

普京总统致中国读者的信

尊敬的中国读者 :很高兴能够把我的文集奉献给你们。我希望 ,这本书将有助于中国朋友们更清楚地了解我国当前的政治、经济和社会形势 ,更好地理解俄罗斯领导和人民为建设强大、稳定和繁荣昌盛的国家所面临的目标和任务。我非常重视全面加强我们两国的战略伙伴关系和传统友谊。我认为 ,2 1世纪的俄中关系就应该是这样的。祝愿你们取得更大的成就、生活幸福、和睦和繁荣昌盛 !2 0 0 2年 11月 2 0日普京总统致中国读者的信     

Remembering to Forget: A Note on the Duration of Campaign Advertising Effects

Exposure to an Obama campaign ad as part of an Internet survey conducted during the final weeks of the 2012 presidential race produced a substantial 2.8-point increase in intentions to vote for Obama. A post-election follow-up survey found an increase in reported votes for Obama that was only half as large, consistent with the notion that ad effects decay over time. However, a closer look at the pattern of decay indicates that the effect of ad exposure remained virtually constant among people who were undecided or predisposed to support Obama. The reduced aggregate effect was almost entirely attributable to Romney supporters who moved toward Obama in the immediate wake of ad exposure but returned to Romney by Election Day. This divergence is inconsistent with an interpretation of decay as reflecting simple forgetting. Rather, it suggests an active process of motivated reasoning in which short-term persuasive effects are gradually eroded or even reversed by counterarguing among people predisposed to resist them.     

中东形势研讨会纪要

2005年8月5日,中国现代国际关系研究院亚非所主办了“中东形势研讨会”,来自国内十几个单位的近30名代表与会。他们就下列主要问题进行了深入研讨。关于伊拉克战争后中东格局,与会学者认为,中东地区格局有一些新变化:(1)美国在伊拉克陷入困境;(2)巴以、黎巴嫩等热点问题更加突出;(3)中东“民主改造”进程不但未按照美国的愿望进行,甚至是背道而驰,在一些阿拉伯国家中激起了更强烈的反美情绪。但总体看,目前中东局势趋于缓和,再度爆发大规模冲突的可能性不大。关于美国在中东的处境,与会学者的观点有明显分岐。其一,当前美国在中东的优势地位…     

苏联的图书馆读者服务工作

苏联人崇尚知识，其整体文化素质水平居世界前列。图书馆完善的读者服务工作，推动了苏联人良好阅读习惯的养成，使其积攒了丰厚的文化底蕴。苏联在以法律规范读者利用图书馆的权利和义务的同时，也规定了图书馆必须对读者履行的义务。我国和谐社会的构建，离不开文化的发展与繁荣，更有赖于公民素质的整体提高，苏联的经验很值得我们借鉴，以读者为核心的意识应尽早成为我国图书馆的自觉。     

Wolfowitz Conjecture: A Research Note on Civil War and News Coverage

How news coverage is affected by dangerous security environments is an important issue for political scientists who rely upon journalistic accounts of political events. It is also a controversial issue in the policy arena. In June of 2004, Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz attributed the American public's pessimism regarding U.S. efforts at stabilizing Iraq to the manner in which Iraq was covered by the U.S. media, suggesting that journalists in Iraq were holed up in hotels rather than in the field. This statement was conjecture, but if there is indeed a link between news coverage and violence, then this would be important for social scientists to understand. In this article, I probe this link by examining how conflict intensity and journalist deaths affect both the volume and length of news coverage in civil wars from 1992 to 1999. This paper shows that news coverage is largely unaffected by violence, except in the most extreme circumstances.     

"中国与苏丹关系"国际研讨会综述

2007年7月26日,由中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所与英国外国政策分析中心联合主办的"中国与苏丹关系"国际研讨会在北京召开。来自中国、苏丹、英国、荷兰的约50名官员、使节和学者参加了本次研讨会。值得一提的是,苏丹议会、能源与矿产部官员、学者和苏丹驻华使馆组成十余人的代表团与会,足见苏丹有关方面对此次国际研讨会的重视。     

Symposium on Replication in International Studies Research

The following symposium tackles an important debate in the field of international studies research and in social science research more broadly. Originating as presentations at the 2002 International Studies Association meetings in New Orleans, the following set of papers examines issues concerning the potential replication of research results from a number of different conceptual and technical perspectives. It also spans an array of journals and journal editors in our field that confront issues of replication on a regular basis. The interactions generated by this symposium have already led to the agreement, detailed at the end of the symposium among the four leading internations relations journals to adopt a single common replication policy. The editors of these journals challenge others to follow their lead. The Editors of ISP hope that this symposium begins a larger discussion on these issues and invites commentary from interested scholars. Lastly, I want to thank Nils Petter Gleditsch for soliciting, organizing, and coordinating the contributions to this symposium. Without his work, this project would not have come to fruition as quickly or in as insightful a fashion. Three anonymous reviewers also provided detailed comments on the entire set of articles in this symposium. We are indebted to the care and effort they gave to the project. Mark A. Boyer For the Editors of ISP     

“中非关系与当今世界”研讨会综览

2008年10月15-18日,由中国非洲史学会主办、山西大学和山西省高校师资培训中心承办的"中非关系与当今世界"学术研讨会在山西太原召开,来自内地和香港共40多家单位的专家学者、政府官员、经济界人士、援非志愿者以及在华非洲友人等总计200多人参加了此次研讨会.研讨会以主会与分会的形式次第展开,呈现出中国非洲研究的多维度、多面向特点.     

非洲经济在边缘化中曲折发展 --"非洲经济学术研讨会"综述

4月6～9日,上海师范大学非洲研究中心和北京大学非洲研究中心在上海师大联合主办非洲经济学术研讨会.来自北京大学、中央党校、外交部、人民日报社、中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所、中央民族大学、中国现代国际关系研究院、华东师范大学、浙江师范大学、湘潭大学、云南大学、外交学院、天津工程师范学院、东方日报社、上海师大等近20个相关单位的40多位专家学者参加了这次研讨会.     

"中俄社会科学论坛"研讨会综述

为加强中俄两国学者的交流与合作,中俄双方于2006年6月19-20日,在北京举行了“中俄社会科学论坛”学术研讨会。该活动为“俄罗斯年”国家级项目之一。19日上午,全国政协副主席、中国社会科学院院长陈奎元,中国人民对外友好协会会长、中俄友好协会会长陈昊苏,中国社会科学院副院     

"法国形势及中法关系"研讨会综述

2009年4月9日,中国现代国际关系研究院欧洲研究所与中国欧洲学会法国研究会联合举办"法国形势及中法关系"研讨会.来自中国社会科学院、中央编译局、中国现代国际关系研究院、中国国际问题研究所、国务院发展研究中心、北京外国语大学和中国传媒大学等机构的20多名专家学者与会,就法国当前政治经济形势、萨科齐外交特点、中法关系现状与未来等问题进行了深入探讨和交流.现将会议主要观点整理如下.     

非洲逐步走出困境 中非关系稳步发展——“当前非洲形势与中非关系”讨论会综述

20 0 2年的非洲政局总体更趋平稳 ,但局部仍有动荡 ;经济持续发展 ,但还难有根本改观 ;中非关系在原有基础上继续稳步前进 ,但也面临新的问题和挑战。 2 0 0 3年 1月 2 1日 ,北京大学非洲研究中心 2 0余位专家学者集会讨论当前非洲政治经济形势 ,并邀请外交部非洲司林琳副司长到会作了题为“2 0 0 2年非洲形势与中非关系”的主题报告。与会者围绕上述问题进行了深入的交流和探讨 ,取得了不少共识 ,也提出了不少富有创建性的建议 ,归纳起来主要有以下内容 :当前非洲形势的基本特点1 政局总体趋稳 ,热点问题明显降温同过去非洲的剧烈动荡相比 …