ROK Factor for the Deployment of THAAD

Earlier this year,THAAD deployment became a concrete reality in South Korea with the Lotte Group transferring land and with pieces of equipment arriving in South Korea.According to South Korean media,South Korea and the US had mutually agreed to accelerate the process and try to complete THAAD deployment before South Korea's presidential election in early May.1 THAAD deployment in South Korea is a case of the US leveraging its smart power to provoke tension in East Asia and contain on China,in order to not only materially strengthen strategic reconnaissance and monitoring over China,but also consolidate US alliances and alienate South Korea from China.Although the US is the chief conspirator for deploying THAAD in South Korea,THAAD deployment is largely attributed to ROK factors and would otherwise be impossible without the active conspiracy and assistance by the ROK conservative forces represented by Park Geun-hye administration.     

朝鲜半岛区域公共产品:超越朝核与“萨德”的综合考量

朝鲜第四次和第五次核试验搅动了东北亚局势,美韩借此蓄谋部署"萨德",严重增加了区域紧张,导致了区域失衡。朝核与"萨德"根源在于朝鲜半岛区域公共产品的缺失,这一缺失主要源于朝鲜半岛政治经济结构的两大矛盾:"安美经中"的二元结构分裂与竞争;"南融北斥"的南北结构失衡。构建朝鲜半岛区域公共产品,概有三个努力方向:力推美朝与南北关系正常化,构建中美朝韩四国外长会晤机制、中美朝韩四国首脑峰会;力推朝鲜半岛无核化,签署和平协议,构建中美朝韩共同治理和平委员会;力推半岛南北平衡发展,在"一带一路"战略框架下促成中朝自贸区。进而在此基础上,搭建一个强有力的制约性整合平台,即中美朝韩四国共管的朝鲜半岛区域合作组织——"跨半岛联合体"。"跨半岛联合体"不仅面临区域公共产品构建的共有困境,同时面临东北亚秩序的特有困局,若要破解这些困境,中美需将"新型大国关系"机制化、推动双边同盟体系转型和构筑"共同外部威胁"意识,同时借鉴东盟与上海合作组织等模式,组建一套完备的"跨半岛联合体"体系,以共建、共享朝鲜半岛安全、和平与发展。     

The Road to Understanding China

正The Chinese Association for I nternational Understanding,or CAFIU,is one of China’s important non-government organisations in fortifying ties since its inception in 1981 through its clear-cut designed programmes inviting other countries to learn more about them with focus on people-to-people ties.CAFIU aims tolet the     

“萨德入韩”与东北亚的“安全困境”:基于新现实主义的分析

当前东北亚地区扑朔迷离的形势可视为朝鲜核试验、萨德入韩以及美国的亚洲回归政策共同、交互作用的结果。美国的亚洲回归以及转而实施亚太再平衡政策其旨在应对中国的崛起,对中国进行战略封锁。在此背景下,朝鲜核试验(第四、五次)、朝鲜频繁的导弹试射、韩国部署萨德系统等破坏了东北亚既存的和平共处和战略均衡局面,大有使韩美日和朝中俄回归到冷战式对立之势,东北亚可能再现新冷战格局,地区安全困境也将日趋严峻。本文认为,美国积极推进萨德入韩的根本动因在于:一方面向日益紧密的中韩关系打入楔子,另一方面要实现对中俄的战略遏制。韩国同意部署萨德本身,一方面是没有充分认识到它的负面影响,另一方面则是明显的战略误判。萨德入韩使得半岛局势急转直下的同时,也使得半岛成为东北亚各国回归传统战略博弈的主战场。中国之所以对韩国同意部署萨德的行为产生怀疑并敏感的反应,原因在于萨德系统不能有效应对朝鲜的攻击,而是为了弥补美国应对中国的导弹防御系统(MD)的缺口。从这种意义上说,部署萨德的负面影响将日益凸显:一是它并不能减少朝鲜的安全威胁,反而有可能刺激朝鲜而使得韩国更加不安全;二是中韩关系将因此严重受损,两国政治、经济、人文交流与合作必将受到冲击;三是东北亚地区将可能再次回归到两极对立状态,朝鲜半岛的安全困境将日益深化。     

Approaches to China＇s Current Maritime Disputes

China is one of the largest Asian countries,sharing land borders with 14 countries and sea borders with 6 countries.It has a 22,000-kilometer land border,an 18,000-kilometer mainland coastline and a 14,000-kiolmeter island coastline.Maritime frontiers have a great impact on the national     

增进双方相互了解推动中拉关系发展

很高兴参加中国社会科学院国际学术论坛暨拉美形势研讨会 ,使我有机会同拉美使团的新老朋友和拉美学术界的各位同事们相聚。我曾经从事过多年拉美地区工作和拉美问题研究 ,在转向宏观领域近 1 0年后再次参加这样的会议 ,有一种归队的熟悉和亲切感。 1 0年后暮然回首 ,站在今天的世界看拉美 ,站在今日之中国看拉美 ,比过去站在拉美看拉美 ,又有了一些新的视角和感受。世界发展进程中的拉美 ,是发展中国家相对发达的地区和重要组成部分 ,是世界多极化和区域集团化发展中一支上升的力量 ,是维护世界和平、促进共同发展、推动建立公正合理国际新…     

墨家思想对中国国际战略定位的启示

墨家思想是春秋战国时期显学之一.本文通过概述墨家思想的基本轮廓,尝试找寻墨家思想与当代中国外交的契合点,探求墨家思想对于当代中国国际战略定位的启示,完善和丰富当代中国国际战略定位的思想来源.在新时期,中国需要根据国家实力的变化,以兼爱作为国际战略的价值理念,明确基本的实施原则,确定适当的行为选择,通过赢造一个更加有力的国际环境,为中国的进一步崛起奠定基础.     

Understanding accessibility to healthcare for elderly people in Bangladesh

Healthcare facilities for the rising number of elderly people living in rural and semi-urban areas in Bangladesh are insufficient. This article assesses the accessibility to healthcare for elderly people living in rural and semi-urban areas. Data collection was carried out using surveys, focus group discussions, and key informant interviews, and both quantitative and qualitative tools were used in analysis. Upazila hospitals, which are geographically easily accessible for elderly people in rural and semi-urban areas, have a dearth of specialist doctors to treat their chronic diseases and lack sophisticated diagnostic facilities. It is recommended that a course on gerontology be introduced in the medical curriculum to increase the number of available geriatricians, and resources allocated for sophisticated diagnostic facilities in upazila hospitals.     

AEPF 10-A Meeting to Enhance Understanding and Cooperation

正Milan,a city endowed with the perfect mixture of fashion,antiquity,romance and simplicity.I had the honor to come to this world-renowned city for the 10thAsia-Europe People’s Forum(AEPF)held on 10-12 October on behalf of the Chinese Association for International Understanding(CAFIU)with representatives of other Chinese     

China's Energy Policy: from Self-sufficiency to Energy Efficiency

China's energy policy is traditionally based on self-sufficiency. While energy bottlenecks have often been cited as a limitation to China's economic growth, China has been successful at producing energy using its domestic coal – albeit putting a strain on transport and producing a high degree of pollution. Aggressively after 2001, China has started to search for external resources, both to supply its voracious appetite for oil and to insure its economy against possible geopolitical disruptions – including the threat of sanctions. This has given Chinese companies a life of their own, making them large international actors. Today, China is both saddled with new responsibilities for the developing countries in which it owns sizeable exploitation rights, and influenced by a new thinking on energy security, based on the idea of improving energy efficiency before developing resources. This offers opportunities for the West – and Japan – in cooperating with China, a huge energy importer, to lessen the dominance of producers, create business opportunities for energy efficiency equipment, and also to cap CO₂ and other emissions.     

美国对中国崛起的认知和反应

近年来,随着经济的迅猛发展,科技自主创新能力的不断增强,尤其在某些尖端科技领域所取得的瞩目成就,中国的综合国力显著提高,在国际社会中的影响力也日益扩大.作为21世纪国际政治中最重要的双边关系--中美关系①在最近的几年中也获得了良好的发展.与此同时,美国国内关于中国崛起对当前国际秩序以及对美国"一超"地位的影响有着不同的认知和反应.     

中国与“保护的责任”原则的发展

一直以来,中国在促进"保护的责任"原则进一步发展和完善上的贡献并未得到充分探讨。笔者认为,中国的贡献包括三个方面:一是坚决一贯地支持"保护的责任"原则所体现的国际道德共识;二是对该原则的具体适用持审慎态度,推动该原则从道德共识向法律规范的稳步发展而非极端冒进;三是从更为宏大的标本兼治的角度出发,探索有中国特色的热点问题解决之路,促进实现"有责任的保护"。与西方在推广"保护的责任"原则中所持的道德主义、极端主义做法相比,中国的贡献有着更为深远的国际政治意义,即实现了对国际规范的内部扩散与外部扩散的平衡、国际规范建构的自上而下和自下而上方法的平衡。这不仅有利于更为公正、合理的国际规范和国际秩序建构,也有利于中国特色大国外交理论和实践的发展。     

从社会阶层角度解读巴基斯坦的政治生态

巴基斯坦1947年立国至今,其社会结构主要由封建地主阶层和以农民为主的草根阶层两大要素组成.由于历史和经济原因,巴国家政权一向被封建地主垄断,广大农民始终处于政治上无权、经济上贫困的境遇,由此导致民选政府的脆弱、军人统治的长期化.近10年来,随着巴基斯坦经济快速增长,巴中产阶级群体日益壮大,作为其主要成员的律师、独立媒体记者2007年甚至一度成为反对穆沙拉夫政权的主力.但巴中产阶级目前因力量单薄,尚难担起推动巴社会结构变革的大任.从中短期看,巴基斯坦政治生态将一如既往,难有根本性变化.     

全球水资源危机和中国的“水资源外交”

全球水资源危机是人类在二十一世纪面临的一个关键性挑战,它必将给各国社会稳定、整体经济乃至国与国关系带来一系列重大影响。有关国家已开始密切关注水资源匮乏问题及其可能带来的政治、军事影响。对于中国来说,水资源作为一种战略商品,不仅是其国内的热点问题,也是一个地区和国际问题,中国应该通过政治、经济途径推进新的、积极的"水资源外交"。     

中国第十二个五年计划对东盟经济的影响

一、序言2011年3月,中国政府批准了第十二个五年计划.该规划的出台引起了世界各国特别是与中国经济日益往来密切的东盟各国的极大关注,这个五年规划的成功实施将会对东盟国家带来积极影响.本文将研究中国的第十二个五年计划对东盟国家的影响.