Individual level dynamics of PTV change across the electoral cycle

Propensity-to-vote (PTV) scores are ever more commonly used in electoral research as a measure of electoral utilities. Yet a growing literature employs them as dependent variable in the voting equation in place of the lower information granted by vote recall questions. However, this choice can be seen as problematic because of the very structure of election survey research. To the extent that voters' PTVs are measured in post-election surveys (as it is often the case) these are likely to result endogenously produced by actual voting behavior in the past election – thus partly undermining the validity of the PTV question which, ideally, should not be related to any specific election. In this paper, we try to disentangle the relationship between short-term political attitudes (leader evaluations, issue proximity, economic assessments) and voters' changing patterns of propensities to vote in both an electoral and a non-electoral context. The latter scenario serves as a means to rule out the potentially contaminating effect of voting choices on voters' PTVs. The data comes from two panel surveys of Italian voters conducted by ITANES in occasion of the 2006 general election, and in 2011 (that is, in a non-electoral year) respectively.     

西方公共政策决策模式评价

决策理论是公共政策研究中的一个重要组成部分。在对决策理论的发展进行历史回顾的基础上 ,对理性决策模式、渐进决策模式、组织过程决策模式、政府政治决策模式、感知过程决策模式进行了批判性的分析 ,并试图从决策主体、决策类型、决策过程三方面揭示出这些模式的内在联系。一项政策的形成是复杂的动态过程 ,公共政策决策受着多种因素的影响 ,其决策模式的运用也因时代背景、政治体制、领导人性格、问题的性质而相应地变化。     

Policy feedback and pathways: when change leads to endurance and continuity to change

Policy Sciences - The policy feedback literature was initially concerned with explaining how positive feedback could lead to self-reinforcing policy trajectories. More recently, policy scholars...     

行政生态学理论研究述评

行政生态学是以生态学理论和方法研究行政管理与其周围环境的一门科学,作为一门新兴的系统行政学分支,它开辟了行政管理学研究的新途径,标志着只在行政系统内部研究行政管理的时代的结束。文章主要对行政生态学的缘起及其理论的发展进行简要的述评,并提出其对我国行政系统的启示。     

评公民参与和地方治理理论的创新

公民参与作为公共参与的一种重要表现形式,体现出公共治理的基本价值;公民参与是治理理论针对西方民主制度的缺失进行反思后的一种回应;公民参与充分体现治理理论倚重的社群主义和合作主义的思想;新公民参与运动在实践上进一步丰富和推进了在公共决策中公民参与形式的创新,公民参与的可操作性在公共治理理论中也得到了丰富和发展;公民治理是更高层次的地方治理中的公民参与.     

转型期我国国情的新变化对高校思想政治工作的影响

改革开放以来,随着市场经济体制改革的不断深入和经济全球化的不断发展,高校思想政治工作不断面临新的新的挑战,但同时也带来了发展机遇。高校思想政治工作必须深刻把握经济体制变革、多元思想文化激荡以及构建社会主义和谐社会的要求,处理好继承与创新的关系,不断做好新时期的高校思想政治工作,以适应新形势新任务对高校思想政治工作的新要求。     

Comments on Welzel,Inglehart and Deutsch

Abstract

This article looks at the strategies religious non-governmental organizations (RNGOs) with strong transnational linkages use to maintain a continued presence in mainland China. It does so by utilizing neo-institutional theory as an instrument for analysis, with an emphasis on outlining the coercive, mimetic, and normative pressures RNGOs face. One of the key findings of the study is that there is creative circumvention of isomorphic pressures by working with local agents, fostering trust with the local government, and keeping a low profile. Moreover, RNGOs dealt with the uncertain institutional environment in China through staff exchanges, denominational supervision, tapping into global platforms, and undergoing a professionalization process.     

新版《航海英语》评析

通过教学实践,归纳总结了新版《航海英语》教材的特点,论述了教材存在的缺陷,并且提出了对教材进行修订的建议。     

How to bring about change in the Bangladesh civil service? Attempts to change mindsets,behaviours and practice

This article addresses three critical questions central to many donor funded programmes which seek to enable pro‐poor reform and growth. In the context of Bangladesh, the research asks first, does the civil service has a role in promoting change of this kind? Second, can a senior civil service development programme succeed in creating reform minded civil servants? And, third, if so how might the contribution be made both more substantive and of value? These questions are addressed systematically through a literature review and evidence drawn from Managing at the Top (MATT 2)—a DFID funded programme. Some tentative conclusions are drawn in the final section. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

略论传统中国严格执法的阻抗因素

法制是传统中国政治的重要组成部分，但严格执法却做得不够，甚至不大讲究。问题在于：传统中国是君主专制国家，奉行人治、礼治而非法治，其间阻抗严格执法的因素很多。主要表现为：法自君出，而君权无限，君、臣常漠视成法；德主刑辅，礼法冲突时，则屈法伸礼；法律虚无，狱吏位卑，舞文弄法、出入人罪；立法技术上的一些问题也使成法难守易破。这些因素共同作用，严格执法不仅难，而且无法克服。这使法律缺乏应有的威信与尊严，其消极影响是现代法治建设应当着力避免的。     

高等教育管理须在新高度上发展

高校教育管理工作,是高校生存与发展的生命线,因此,提升其管理水平势在必行。